ShareProphets

Wednesday 23 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


1 August 2017, 11:25 | By Steve Moore |

Real Good Food – real bad news & disclosure. A real disgrace

“Company Update” announcement from Real Good Food (RGD). Sounds routine enough. You what? It commences “The company announces that during the audit process of its full year accounts for the year ended 31 March 2017, two substantial anticipated claims regarding its sugar purchase arrangements have not yet materialised with the effect that it will not meet its previously forecasted profit figures. In addition”

1 August 2017, 11:18 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Manx Financial - why is Jim Mellon giving away free money?

The sub scale bank Manx Financial (MFX) admitted yesterday morning that it could do with raising some more capital for regulatory purposes. It had considered a placing but, for some reason, that idea had not flown. But luckily its chairman Jim Mellon had a stack of warrants at 6p outstanding with a deadline for exercise of er...yesterday. With the share price at 8p surely this was a nil brainer for my good friend, the offshore based asset stripper, Mellon?

1 August 2017, 10:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Some investment futurology prompted by my good friend Luke Johnson

Regular bearcasts will be returning, God Willing, on September 1. But Joshua is at playgroup and I am kicking my heels with my testicle scan on Friday rather playing on my mind and so as a distraction here is an offering prompted by the Sunday Times column this week of my pal and UK Investor Show speaker Luke Johnson.

1 August 2017, 09:37 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Pantheon Resources - why does anyone believe a word it says? Why have directors not been fired?

On 25 January 2016 I accused Pantheon Resources (PANR) of being a mug punter fave and of being ready to do a placing. A huffy puffy PR person got a huffy puffy FD to call me to tell me that I was talking bollocks. The City was reassured that I was a prize poltroon/failed fund manager/pizza delivery boy/drunk and , assisted by a scandalously ramptastic operations update, the company raised $30 million at 115p in early March. Why is this ancient history so important?

1 August 2017, 09:09 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – ignore director buying, it’s a spoof

AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy has announced a director buy of 100,000 shares (about £17,750 worth). Dr Enrico Vanni, a NED, has gone into the market and hoovered up a few more shares to add to the series of shares acquired earlier this year as the company tried (and failed) to defend the 25p (par) share mark in the face of the Bracknor death spiral sales. Now he’s back.

1 August 2017, 08:37 | By ShareProphets |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 28/07/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

1 August 2017, 08:27 | By Cynical Bear |

Falcon Media House: Cap in hand already – FCA should investigate

Falcon Media House (FAL) finally reported its year-end results yesterday on the last possible day and, surprise, surprise, despite only coming back to the market 4 months ago, with 12 months funds in the coffers, honest, it has now had to admit that it needs more funds. This is shoddy stuff and is an area where the FCA should investigate.

1 August 2017, 08:10 | By Malcolm Stacey |

This May Not Be Time to Hang Up on your BT Shares

Hello, Share Pushers. You can, like my colleagues on this illustrious website, be among the best share experts in the world, but some brickbats you cannot see coming. One such example is the big wobble of BT (BT.A) stock when it was announced in January that something was not quite right about the company’s Italian operation.

31 July 2017, 16:31 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Conroy Gold - About that affidavit: GM looms a few points the rebels really need to clarify NOW

This Friday shareholders in Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR) will meet in Dublin to decide whether to oust most of the board and replace them with Paul Johnson, Gervaise Heddle and 28% shareholder Patrick O'Sullivan. Court documents filed in Dublin last week beg serious questions but not for the board but for the rebels.

31 July 2017, 15:40 | By Steve Moore |

SRT Marine Systems – “MDM Contract Update”, shares down 20%. Uh Oh…

An “MDM Contract Update” announcement from SRT Marine Systems (SRT) – and the shares currently down approaching 20% in response. Uh oh…

31 July 2017, 15:20 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Andalas Energy pays 150% interest on loan extension - insolvency postponed for one month - placing ahoy?

A year ago I thought that loans taken out an annualised rate of 30% such as that African Potash (AFPO) obtained from the fragrant wife of its hapless FD were a rum and coke. But that is nothing to the stunning admission today from Andalas Energy (ADL) - a loan repayable in one month at an annualised rate of 150%. Even by the standards of AIM Casino junk - Wowee.

31 July 2017, 14:42 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy - technological milestones, but what about cash?

AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) has announced that the final Coupled Cavity Linac (CCL) module (part of the LIGHT system) is ready for shipment to the company’s Geneva Testing facility. All very good news, no doubt, but what is the cash position of the company?

31 July 2017, 14:18 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Take that you bastard - An 11 page letter to share ramper Roger Lawson re his threat to sue Tom Winnifrith for libel

Disgraced share ramper Roger Lawson is now posting in the comments section on this website. We believe in free speech and allow him to post his jackanories here. When he defamed mew and Ben Edelman on the ShareSoc website he stopped us posting a reply. We rebutted his spurious threat to seek an injunction against me for harassment last week HERE. Ramper upped the ante by misleading poor Audioboom to get podcasts taken down as you can read HERE. Today we bite back big time.

31 July 2017, 13:25 | By Gary Newman |

Sylvania continues to deliver a strong performance - buy for the longer term

Sylvania Platinum (SLP) is a company which I’ve followed for quite some time and hold shares in myself - and I view today’s unexpected acquisition news as being positive for the company moving forwards.

31 July 2017, 12:20 | By David Scott |

Dicing with a spiral of complacency

Bubbles and Busts are both created by the US Federal Reserve and US Presidents are merely along for the ride. Presidents like to credit themselves for the bubble feel good upswing and then they look for scapegoats, usually the free market during the painful busts. Early on President Trump made a big mistake as he tried to portray himself as the cause of the current rise in the stock market...

31 July 2017, 11:53 | By Tom Winnifrith |

31 July 2017, 11:50 | By Steve Moore |

Utilitywise – early adoption accounting change announcement coincides with profit warning which wouldn’t have been!

Previously writing on Utilitywise (UTW) it was a case of it having been wise to red flag, as (Utility)unwise energy consumption projections see the shares crash. I concluded ‘is there anything else to emerge from the changes required to ‘increase transparency’? The visibility here sees me continue to avoid’. The shares are today further lower on “Early Adoption of IFRS 15” and “Trading update” announcements…

31 July 2017, 11:31 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

31 July 2017, 09:48 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Echo Energy fires its broker - for doing the sensible thing & dumping shares

Echo Energy (ECHO) the overvalued wannabee oil explorer has today announced that it is firing its retained broker Brandon Hill. This is most unusual.

31 July 2017, 09:04 | By Tom Winnifrith |

FRC looks into Mitie and auditors Deloitte - will Tory Baroness Ruby McGregor Smith lose her Peerage? An acid test for the politically correct...

The Financial Reporting Council has announced that it has opened a formal investigation into the accounts of outsourcing group Mitie Group (MTO) for the years to March 31st 2015 and 2016. Mitie is in the spotlight and auditors Deloitte will also be investigated. So what has Baroness Ruby got to say about this?

9 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

3 days ago | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

7 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

A Super Sewer, A Swish Station and a Big Bridge. Balfour Beatty is on a Roll

Hello Share Scraggers. Infrastructure is a buzz word at the mo. Companies which supply it (if that’s the right word) are seeing their share prices rise. You’ll recall that Big Donald climbed into power by saying he would spend a lot more on roads and other public projects in the USA. Not to mention that laughable Mexican wall. And Blighty’s government has also said it will be spending more on infrastructure.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

I will make this simple enough that even Bushveld shareholders can understand it

I'd like to start a competition to find the AIM shareholder list with the lowest average IQ. I am beginning to think that it may well be that of Bushveld Minerals (BMN). Sure its shares are up by 400% since the pump and dump of last fall (exposed HERE) and they may rise again on the latest pump and dump of yesterday (HERE) but folks need to be aware that a placing is a slam dunk cert. Oh no, say some very stupid people.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Andalas Energy: Open letter to FCA & AIM Regulation - Market Abuse & Breach of AIM Rules

I am deeply troubled by events at AIM uber dog Andalas Energy (ADL) on Monday afternoon. This is a company that has form when it comes to breaking AIM Casino Rules but on this occasion it is the advisers at Cantor Fitzgerald, whose actions have alreday cost some folks 50% of their money, who should be hung, drawn and quartered. Sadly we have gone soft on crime but at least they should be clobbered by the FCA for market abuse and AIM Regulation for breaching AIM rules. I have sent a letter.

7 days ago | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix - we buy more shares for first time in two years, price is just wrong

Thanks for all the emails on Optibiotix (OPTI). We understand seeing the shares slide back to 53p odd is alarming. To one or two of you, there is no need for such language! To the rest of you here goes.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

AIM Dog Servision: another warning and it is death spiral and dilution frenzy ahead

When serving up god-awful FY numbers on deadline day ( June 30th) it was shown that uber dog Servision (SEV) had serially misled investors and indeed told outright lies over the prior half year. Rover also served up its second profits warning in two weeks with the god-awful numbers and 'fessed up "Our working capital position is tighter than we anticipated" - I should cocoa. Today it got worse.

6 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

EU Supply – does “Contract win” merit a 12% share price rise?

Having reached 18p last month, shares in e-procurement software provider EU Supply (EUSP) had slipped back slightly – but are currently further higher on the back of a “Contract win” announcement. This following a trading update earlier in the month…

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

9 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

9 hours ago | By ShareProphets |

6 tips, the one gold share that all must own, and six reasons why the stock market may crash in 2017 - The August edition of the UK Investor Show magazine is now live

The August edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring six share tips, the one gold share that all must own, and six reasons why the stock market may crash in 2017 and much more.

2 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Provident Financial – calamitous “Trading Statement”, shares plunge, another nightmare for Neil Woodford

Earlier this month in Neil Woodford - how long before The Deadwood Press admits that he does not walk on water?, Tom noted a bad record – recently including Provident Financial (PFG). The Mail on Sunday had written “the FTSE 250 doorstep lender whose profits halved after it struggled to move to a new operating model” - the struggles have got considerably worse…

9 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Arrogant bastard Nomates Neil Woodford explains his latest disaster Provident Financial

Showing not an ounce of humility, the fund manager who seems to have at least three high profile disasters as week, Neil Woodford has posted a comment on his group's blog explaining why Provident Financial (PFG) shares are cheap after yesterday's disastrous warning. But before you rush out to buy it is worth noting that after the last warning (in June) Nomates Neil posted another blog. Nomates had chatted at length to management, he understood the score, the market was wrong and Nomnates had bought a stack more shares. There seems to be a pattern here.

2 days ago | By Cynical Bear |

Sphere Medical – Yet another Woodford debacle: it’s all becoming a bit too common

When Neil Woodford launched his Patient Capital Trust (WCPT) to much fanfare in 2015, everyone waited expectantly to see how he would start spending the £800 million war chest and so one had high hopes in April 2015 with the announcement of the first investment for the fund, namely a £4 million investment in an exciting quoted biotech play, Sphere Medial Holdings (SPHR). As an announcement last night showed, it has been as successful (or not) as one of his other uber-dogs RM2 International (RM2).

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A Broker warns you on Bushveld... they do it with mirrors

Once again I return to the subject of the company on AIM with the stupidest bunch of shareholders. The auditors of Bushveld Minerals (BMN) have stated explicitly that the company needs to raise fresh equity to avoid going tits up but shareholders respond by saying "how often have auditors got it wrong?" and a range of other excuses. They just do not get it at all, it is placing ahoy. Now the company has news today which the morons who own this stock seem to think is good. Ina private email this morning a top City broker put it thus:

9 hours ago | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the AIM casino, the world's most successful growth market

This week's Bulletin Board Moron contest is sponsored by the AIM Markets, the world's most successful growth market, now only slightly smaller than it was last year.

12 hours ago | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix extends Sacco deal - another piece in the jigsaw: KEEP BUYING!

Optibiotix (OPTI) has announced that it has extended the Europe wide supply agreement announced with Sacco in March to cover the USA and Rest of the World. The new deal grants Sacco an exclusive licence to manufacture and supply OptiBiotix's cholesterol and blood pressure reducing LPLDL® strain in the US and ROW, in return for 50% of the profit, with a guaranteed cost of manufacture and minimum sales price per kilogramme to secure against discounting.

2 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Why I'm Still Riding the Black Horse

Hello, Share Mixers. As you may have gathered, I favour investment in all four big British banks at the mo. My main reason is that each time one of them announces new figures, its balance sheet seems to have improved nicely and the share price usually shoots up.

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Winner of the Telit Leather Man Macho Insider Dealer Yosi Fait caption contest announced

We asked you for suitable captions for the picture below of the leather man who took over from the cowboy as CEO of the Telit (TCM) village people. I refer, of course, to insider dealer Yosi Fait. You offered numerous suggestions as you can see HERE but there can be only one winner and it is

2 days ago | By Cynical Bear |

Red Leopard Holdings: Shock TR-1’s – Spreadex has been selling out

wrote at the weekend about the surprising lack of TR-1’s at Red Leopard Holdings (RLH), particularly from the largest shareholder Spreadex, with the company having gone into suspension pending an RTO. Well, as if by magic, they arrived yesterday, after hours of course.

12 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Odd one out Contest: Martha Stewart, Lord Archer, Leather Man Yosi Fait and Jeff Skilling

Ok this really is easy. All you need to do is to say which of the four well regarded and utterly honest individuals below is the odd one out and why. Do your worst. The deadline is midnight tonight (Wednesday)

15 hours ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Lost Faith in some of Your Old Favourites? Then Take a Look at this 200-year-old Niche Company

Hello, Share Smugglers. The main staples of your portfolio, I should imagine, are in these popular sectors; oil, banks, pharmaceuticals, utilities and insurance. I could be wrong, but history shows that people who invested in these areas years ago still hold the stock.

2 days ago | By Chris Bailey |

Billiton gets religion...with a little help from its activist hedge fund 'friend'

It was around a year ago that I wrote an article about one of my then tips of the year BHP Billiton (BLT) observing that the world's largest mining company had just made billions of dollars of losses...but correctly the share price was going up. Billiton was a nice solid pick for 2016 but so far this year the share has been more volatile than remunerative.

13 hours ago | By Chris Bailey |

Does WPP stand for 'What Profit Progression'?

Too many years ago to remember as a fledgling analyst and junior portfolio manager, I was told by an old hand that 'WPP is the company with the greatest correlation to the FTSE-100'. I have no idea - nor the boring Excel skills - to say whether this is true but the notion that the world's largest advertising company should broadly share the same ups and downs as the very international main UK market index makes quite a bit of sense.

12 hours ago | By HotStockRockets |

Wishbone – Yorkville fund raise, at up to and including 0.8p BUY

Wishbone Gold (WSBN) has announced an £800,000 fund raise at 0.7p. Well we wish it was that simple. The mechanism is really very complicated but involves Yorkville so we imagine that there are people out there saying Death Spiral. They are wrong.