ShareProphets

Saturday 22 July 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


17 July 2017, 10:02 | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the week PRIZE contest sponsored by Disgraced share Ramper Roger Lawson

Today's the day that African Potash gets slung from the NEX markets or has the rules bent for them, so in normal circumstances it would sponsor this week's contest. But there is an even better sponsor, step forward disgraced share ramper Roger Lawson of ShareSoc infamy who will donate some of the Globo shares he owns as a prize.  Natch, Ramper Lawson sold most of his Globo shares before telling readers to sell, but he still has some left and even offered to help the management take the company forward.

12 July 2017, 10:36 | By ShareProphets |

8 tips, CEO interviews with Wishbone & Optibiotix & much more - The July edition of the UK Investor Show magazine is now live

The July edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring eight share tips, a question of life after the Tories, a special book offer, CEO interviews with Optibiotix (OPTI) and Wishbone (WSBN) and much more.

 

12 July 2017, 09:43 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Parallel Media – update at no-one-is-watching o’clock: how do you lose 33% of the company?

Last night at no-one-is-watching o’clock AIM-listed Parallel Media (PAA) slipped out a correction to its major shareholders listed in the recent full-year results for 2016. Actually, it was a major correction: 33% of the company!

12 July 2017, 08:38 | By Graham Neary |

When the Stock Market Goes Mad: The Case of RM2

It was my great privilege to speak at The UK Investor Show this year, along with the illustrious bears and short-selling raiders Lucian Miers, Matthew Earl and Gabriele Grego. For my choice of bear tips, I again went for the easy target of Fastjet (FJET) (down by over 70% since I first mentioned it in November 2015), but my new tip was the rarely-discussed pallet company, RM2 International (RM2).

12 July 2017, 08:37 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Reader poll: Who has been stupid enough to send Tom Winnifrith a lawyer's letter now?

Don't these fools ever learn? For chancers and crooks like Darren Winters, the shysters at Globo, Blinkx, Quindell and Daniel Stewart and for lyin Chris Cleverley and Lord Hain of sleaze and for so many others, sending me a fascist lawyers letter never works out well. That is not for them at least. But it seems there is one born every day. A new letter is in demanding that three years of articles be removed, that damages and costs be paid and that I put my name to a grovelling apology dictated by this poltroon. Who do you think is daft enough to have sent it? Vote now in our latest poll with a deadline of midnight tonight.

12 July 2017, 08:31 | By HotStockRockets |

Falanx Results - Really what is not to like?

Falanx (FLX) has finally released its results for the year to March 31. The numbers were in line but it is the forward looking statement that is the dazzler. That is not reflected in the share price which came off by more than 10% on the session at 6.75p-7p. We think the market called that wrong and here is why.

12 July 2017, 08:27 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Our Hero Wetherspoon's Martin: Re Brexit the CBI should put a sock in it, the FCA is weak and unrealistic

Tim Martin is again our4 hero of the day, speaking out against the FCA,m the CBI, the Financial Times and other remoaners" who are trtying to dilute Brexit with disingeneous comment. On the occassion of a trading statement from his JD Wetherspoon (JDW) chain of ghastly plastic pubs, Martin has let rip. The great man states:

12 July 2017, 08:22 | By HotStockRockets |

Big Sofa - 2 heavy hitters join, share price recovery continues ( and will accelerate)

The distracting noise and untruthful commentary surrounding the results from Big Sofa (BST) a couple of weeks ago has died down and the shares have started a re-rate - they are now 25p-26.5p and if you can get any stock at all at 25p or better you should do so. We continue to see a minimum price target of 50p + to sell. Today we have news of two heavy hitters coming on board.

12 July 2017, 08:18 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Galliford Has Been Try-ing Hard and the Shares May Rise Higher as a Result

Hello Share Twitchers. Truth be told I was getting a bit worried about my Galliford Try (GFRD) shares. They initially did really well for me. So much so that I topped up rather generously a few months ago. That led to the usual falling away of share value.

11 July 2017, 14:30 | By Chris Bailey |

Marks And Spencer: the management better hope Margins Are Sustainable

The macro news today showed a glimmer of hope for retailers with the UK British Retail Consortium (BRC) data showing a 1.2% rise in June like-for-like retail sales compared to a year ago.  All hail the hot weather and the Eid celebrations which apparently - according to the experts - helped out.  

11 July 2017, 12:50 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: there are too many Ethiopians in Sound Oil's Moroccan fuel store

I am with my father and he enjoys being part of bearcast so here is another one off. We start on the use of language and its misuse something which Dad and I talk about a lot. Thus there was Theresa May referring to THE cricket. And a fellow Tory MP who used a word she really should not have used in a phrase with a clear meaning. many said the phrase was racist. It was not it is the word that is, rightly, just not acceptable. That brings me to Sound Energy (SOU), Amur Minerals (AMC), MySquar (MYSQ) and Bagir (BAGR). I leave Shipston tonight so no more father and son bearcasts, regular podcasts will be back in September.

11 July 2017, 11:30 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Interactive Investor ( iii) - We are not the only bastards in the stockbroker village

iii, aka Interactive Investor, do not seem happy at being called total bastards for changing the terms for holding client money so that clients, that is mug punters like you and I, get more risk and iii gets more money. It says that this is not the objective of what is going on any anyhow other stockbrokers such as Hargreaves Lansdown and the Share Centre are doing the same thing. As such I am happy to clarify " I apologise for saying that iii are total bastards. I meant to say that iii like many other stockbrokers including Hargreaves Lansdown and the Share Centre are total bastards." The iii spokesman is keen that I put this all in context.  iii's comments are in bold, my translation service is below.

11 July 2017, 11:14 | By Gary Newman |

I'm getting a feeling of deja vu with Nu-Oil and Newfoundland

Nu-Oil and Gas (NUOG) is all the rage at the moment amongst PIs, but I’m finding it hard to get quite so excited about its prospects and am getting a feeling of déjà vu when I look back at some of the old Enegi Oil announcements.

11 July 2017, 10:15 | By Nigel Somerville |

Frontera – Directorate Changes: RNS Translation Service

AIM-listed Frontera Resources (FRR) has announced that Steve C Nicandros is to relinquish his executive role as CEO but remains at non-executive chairman. After 21 years of service it is natural to look back and talk about the highlights, so the ShareProphets RNS Translation Team has been busy with today’s quote from Mr Nicandros. Original is in bold.

11 July 2017, 08:53 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Spectacular H2 2017 rally in gold is on the cards

We are building a good base for a spectacular second half of this year; people are in a state of panic and sentiment is at the bottom. So says gold guru Florian Grummes.

11 July 2017, 08:49 | By HotStockRockets |

Columbus Energy Corporate update - look through the windscreen not the rear view mirror! BUY

Shares are valued on the basis of what is to come. that is to say future earnings ( or lack of them). Not historic losses, profits or performance. But shares in Columbus (CERP), the former LGO Energy have been marked a tad lower after an operational update as punters looked in the rear view mirror. Their error = your opportunity.

11 July 2017, 08:29 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Paternoster Resources - possibly London's most expensive & worst performing fund manager

There are numerous reasons NOT to own shares in sub scale and underperforming Paternoster Resources (PRS) as I explained at the weekend HERE. But there is a different way of looking at this piece of investment crap.

11 July 2017, 08:13 | By HotStockRockets |

San Leon - not long till shares trade again

San Leon (SLE) has updated on the suspension of its shares - something that has now lasted a week. We have been in constant communication with the company and are relaxed about the situation, not expecting it to last much longer.

11 July 2017, 08:00 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Though Sainsbury Tries Harder, the Competition is Just Too Much - sell

Hello Share Peggers. The latest set of figures from Sainsbury (SBRY) show that sales in the last four months improved by 2.3%. Which is not too bad, considering the huge challenge from the competition these days.

10 July 2017, 13:52 | By David Scott |

Didn’t wait for the bear market to announce its safe arriva

Markets are starting to adjust to the idea that interest rates are going up and they are now questioning exactly what this means. This generally means less risk-taking, which means lower asset prices. We are at a point where small shifts in absolute terms have an outsize relative impact. If interest rates rise from 5% to 5.25%, that’s not a big move. But if they rise from 0.25% to 0.5%, they’ve doubled. 

10 July 2017, 13:46 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Milestone Group Plc – is Para & Co (UK) Ltd good for the money?

This morning AIM uber dog Milestone (MSG) announced that a new investor, Para & Co (UK) Ltd, was providing a cash advance of up to £400,000 of cash via a convertible loan note as part of a total capital raise of up to £1.5 million for a maximum interest of 29.9% at a price of 0.29 pence per share. Nigel covered this earlier here but let's dig further into the affairs of this new investor. 

10 July 2017, 13:33 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

AIM-China Grand Group – shares collapsing, statement needed

AIM-listed Chinese play Grand Group (GIPO) has had something of a chequered history even by the standards set by the Filthy Forty. It didn’t get in because it listed too late, but that hasn’t stopped the comparisons. It listed at 80p in January 2015 yet there appears to be a rush for the exit today, with the stock off by 32% at just 9.75p.

7 days ago | By Comrade Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground - Hey! You! Get off of my (Sound)cloud

Considering that Tom is on leave and won't be returning to Bearcasts in September, it's interesting to note that two items on the top-10 leaderboard are Tom's Bearcasts. We look forward to their increased popularity when he officially returns to them.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Who has been daft enough to send Tom Winnifrith a lawyer's letter? 92% of you guessed wrongly

Five days ago someone who you would say had  a career death wish, if he had actually got a career, sent me a fascist lawyers letter demanding that I pull all articles on him (going back 40 months) pay him damages, never write about him again and publish a grovelling apology dictated by him. I asked you to guess who has been so daft and 92% of you got it wrong.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Why a research note from a house broker is just so much shite - possibly the worst note of 2017, Arden on the Mercantile Norfolk

The house broker on AIM earns its money not from investors but from corporates. It banks £2-4,000 a month as a retainer and then makes 5% commission on any funds it raises. Lovely jubbly, coke and hookers all round. Of course that makes its research less than impartial. Prostitutes do not tell their clients that they have a small dick and so you would not expect Arden Partners to conclude that shares in Mercantile Ports & Logistics (MPL) are worthless crap, which they are. Welcome to a strong contender for the worst research note of the year to date.

6 days ago | By HotStockRockets |

Premaitha - new Thermo Fisher loan: sends strong message to Illumina: BUY

Premaitha Health (NIPT) has announced that it has entered into a further extension of the investment agreement with Thermo Fisher Scientific  announced on 14 December 2015 and extended as announced on 23 September 2016. This is good news.

6 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

AIM-China Grand Group – anything to see?

I’ve covered AIM-China Grand Group (GIPO) a couple of times already but there is something fishy about the share price movement over the last few days. Surely even Marcus Stuttard’s oxyorons at AIM Regulation will view what follows with some interest. Remember, the company claims to have about £25 million of cash as a cash shell and the market closed on Friday with the company worth just £2 million.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

See you in Court Bitchez Odd one out Contest

Okay this is easy as pie. I bring you a dodgy bubble, a disgraced share ramper, the King of the fraudsters, lyin' Chris, the head of a formerly AIM listed POS where 1/6 of the staff were family members and Jimmyliar himself. Which is the odd one out and why? Post your answers in the comments section below with a deadline of 7 AM Monday Morning.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Here's the fascist lawyers letter from disgraced share ramper Roger Lawson of Sharesoc - and a response

A formal response to disgraced ShareSoc share ramper Roger Lawson's fascist lawyers letter will follow in due course. But in this detailed podcast I explain why the letter he sent is so pitiful and wrong and why I shall fight to ensure that his antics are exposed. It would set a very bad precedent were there to be any other result. For ShareSoc the implications of this case are laid out and it will not enjoy what is set to unfold one little bit.

6 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Why I'm Happy to Make More Mistakes than Beginners Do

Hello Share Scramblers. The distinguished Darren Atwater’s Notes from Underground inform us that 62,000 individual readers graced this wonderful website last week. Which suggests that huge numbers are ignoring that hoary old advice about ‘Going away in May’ and are still currently active.

6 days ago | By Gary Newman |

Fishing retailer Angling Direct lists on AIM - but does it offer value?

Following the successful floatation of Fishing Republic (FISH) a couple of years back, it was only a matter of time before one of the other large fishing tackle retailers followed the same route, and we’ve just seen Angling Direct (ANG) list on the AIM market.

6 days ago | By Lucian Miers |

Déjà Vu at UK Oil & Gas: A Sell

In April 2015, at Waterloo station I looked up and saw, on a giant television screen streaming live Sky News, the portly figure of colourful Australian share promotor David Lenigas making wild and, as it turned out, unsubstantiated claims about the ‘Gatwick Gusher’, the voguish oil play situated on the Sussex Weald. Instinctively, I reached for my phone and shorted UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) which had trebled to 3p on the excitement.

5 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

MySQUAR - the out of the money warrant exercise that tells you its placing ahoy and this is a slam dunk Norfolk

For the second time in a week we have seen share options exercised at AIM listed Norfolk MySQUAR (MYSQ) - this time it is 1.875 million warrants exercised at 5.5p which will add £103,125 to the coffers. that is kind of handy for this cash guzzler which is close to running on fumes. But this is a spoof.

6 days ago | By Hackney Champagne Socialist Darren Atwater |

Winner of the Bulletin Board & Twitter Moron of the week sponsored by the returning Quenron gang of Shysters

It's a duopoly of duds this week. What to do? There were few entries last week, which seems to show that the bulletin board posters on LSE and ADVFN and III have all been sensible and humble for the past seven days.

5 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

AIM-China Grand Group – oh dear, now the Chairman walks. Get out!

AIM-China investment company Grand Group (GIPO) has announced the departure of its Chairman. It may not formally be one of our Filthy Forty, but it sure is doing its best to make the grade.

5 days ago | By Cynical Bear |

Fandango Holdings: Give me strength – an absolute shoe-in to the Sub-Standard Shockers XI squad

My heart sunk last week as I noted that the Plutus Powergen (PPG) boys were at it again with their third Sub-Standard List effort coming to the market in just over a year, despite the first two efforts being absolute flops. Oh well, welcome Fandango Holdings (FHP), you’re in the squad– let’s take a look.

5 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Wanna buy shares at 11 cents when a £3.50 bid has been tabled? Welcome to the crazy world of Africa New Energy

Back in February 2017 I was contacted by a private company Africa New Energy asking if I wanted to buy shares in a placing at 11 cents. Since the company is run by Stephen Larkin, a man who takes advice from loathsome Richard "Gollum" Gill I was nor rushing to sign up. But then I was told, but we are going to be taken over soon at 350p per share a bid has been tabled! Er... so is this placing not sort of insider dealing I asked?

5 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Proxama – new agreement announcements now being seen through?

Proxama (PROX) has announced an “important” partnership agreement with Rail Delivery Group, a group which brings together train operators and Network Rail. The shares have currently though responded to see them amongst the biggest fallers on the day…

5 days ago | By David Scott |

On Borrowed Time

There are a number of things you don’t want to hear a central banker say. One of these was recently spoken by Janet Yellen when she said “I don’t believe we will see another financial crisis in our lifetime.” That has to be up there with Irving Fisher’s seminal observation of 17 October 1929 when he said "Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau" or John Maynard Keynes’ equally adept forecast from 1927 that "We will not have any more crashes in our time." We are in the Mother of all bubbles and in relation to equity and bond markets we can define these bubbles by longevity (how long has the Bull Run lasted), or valuation (how expensive is the market now).

12 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - The PLC Death List Update - 9 new entrants

I started the PLC death list in June 2015 with 21 members. The aim is to pick stocks that will either go bust or get slung off the AIM Casino. Each departure requires a nreplacement. With nine new entrants today 40 names have joined this select group. So far there have been two outright failures on my part, Mariana Resources (MARL) and Jersey Oil & Gas (JOG). There was one volte face but I was ahead at volte face point and it was a great call both short and long - Wandisco (WAND), two near kills, InternetQ (INTQ) and Monitise (MONI) and thirteen slam dunk kills: Cloudtag (CTAG), Worthington (WRN), African Potash (AFPO), Jiasen (JSI), Camkids (CAMK), China Chaintek (CTAK), JQW (JQW), Afren (AFR), Daniel Stewart (DAN), Sefton (SER), Outsourcey (OUT - boy I enjoyed that one - Afriag (AFRI) and Auhua. So 13 out of 31 = 40%+ - not bad eh?  Arguably that is 15 out of 31 - almost 50%! That leaves:

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

SHOCKING: Nyota - the killer emails: Peterhouse has defrauded investors and misled them

Our exclusive Winnileaks service has obtained a series of emails from May 3rd 2017 which show that Peterhouse Corporate Finance has misled investors in Nyota Minerals (NYO) - these emails compound the damning evidence of the secret document I published on Wednesday. This is so damning that maybe even the useless clowns at AIM Regulation will take an interest.

12 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: The ponzi of the UK state pension, 15 million job losses and the failure of the British State

I wrote an article yesterday on my own website about the ponzi that is the UK state pension and how it is bound to collapse unless very hard choices are made which they will not be. I note a lot of smart comments were posted by readers on that article so delve deeper into this issue but go on to address other massive changes that will hit the UK workforce and how the State is in total denial about how it will cope. It comes up with bad solutions or no solutions but the net result is that in 20 years time you and I will not be able to rely on the State for anything at all - so what should we all do now?

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bitcoin or gold - which is the real safe haven or store of value?

Naturally Sprott Asset Management, as the world's best known resource investor, favours gold but, and this may surprise you, it does see a case for bitcoin exposure. Its latest monthly report discusses the battle: Bitcoin vs Gold. Over to analyst Trey Reik who writes:

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

R4E - Very good news on the banking front: At up to 1.6p BUY

For months, shares in R4E (R4E) have been held back because it was in technical breach of the covenants on its bank debt. We never expected the bank to pull with Nigel Wray and Johnny Hon owning c50% of the equity and standing behind the firm. But some BB savants knew better...they always do.

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Conroy Gold - boardroom coup now surely a slam dunk as Gonella ups his stake

I've known Andrea Gonella for ages. We have never, to my knowledge, met but have oft corresponded by email. He resides, I think, in Belize and seems to spend a lot of his time fishing. Lucky chap. He is also minted and someone who has for ages believed that Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR) sits on a very interesting gold deposit in some of those counties of Ireland that are part of God's own Kingdom of Ulster but are these days in the Republic of Ireland. However...

12 hours ago | By Lucian Miers |

I stay short of UK Oil & Gas - I'm a Russian and the BBMs are the Germans in the snow

I see that UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) has cemented its position as the nation’s favourite oil tiddler with a stonking rally to 5.1p since my recent short call at 3p. I haven’t received such joyous vitriol on twitter since I called Cloudtag a sell at 7p and saw the shares rise to 20p. Tom Winnifrith gleefully points out that he is glad to see someone take over as the Bulletin Board Moron's No 1 hate figure, at least for now.

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

The Mercantile Ports & Logistics fraud - Arden partners now on the record

Over the past few weeks we have published a string of letters sent by a significant shareholder in AIM listed Norfolk Mercantile Ports & Logistics (MPL) to its Nomad Cenkos so that when Mercantile runs out of other people's money as it surely will, the shamed former adviser on the Quindell (QPP) fraud cannot say that "it did not know." Its role is on the record as you can see in our full coverage HERE. Now that same shareholder has written to Daniel Slater, the analyst at co broker Arden Partners responsible for - arguably - the worst research note of 2017.

12 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Nyota - I fear that its AIM days are very numbered

Last week the Nomad and broker to Nyota Minerals (NYO) announced that they were quitting as of August 17. As I have exposed HERE and HERE the advisers have behaved disgracefully and if there was any justice they would be facing sanction. But I fear that it is Nyota that will suffer.

2 days ago | By Gary Newman |

Central Asia Metals looks a great longer term investment in copper

On the AIM market these days it seems as though many would far rather buy into the latest pump and dump on a piece of junk, than invest in a company that is actually running its business properly and making money. The problem with putting your money into junk is that at some point true value normally shines through and the resultant share price crashes can be spectacular.

12 hours ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

As Oil Shares Could Face a Blacker Future, You Might Look at this Unfashionable Sector Instead.

Hello, Share Muckers. Because I still own far too many oil stocks, I really must take my pruning shears to most of them. We seem to be moving very slowly towards renewables and nuclear, not to mention the march of hybrid cars.

12 hours ago | By ShareProphets |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 21/07/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

12 hours ago | By HotStockRockets |

Metal Tiger – “exciting possibilities” from Botswanan electromagnetic survey

Metal Tiger (MTR) has updated on a preliminary interpretation of airborne electromagnetic geophysics data collected along 50km of the T3 Dome – a largely unexplored structure, where the company’s Botswana joint venture discovered the copper-silver deposit ‘T3’ last year.

1 day ago | By Steve Moore |

Empresaria – H1 trading update merit resumed share price advance?

Having commenced the year at just over 100p, shares in staffing group Empresaria (EMR) reached 168p at the start of last month before slipping back – closing yesterday at 146.5p. However, they are currently 5.5% higher today on the back of a “Trading Update” announcement…

1 day ago | By Steve Moore |

AO World – following continued recent shares slide, does an “AGM and Trading Statement” help?

Shares in AO World (AO.) haven’t even nearly recovered to levels prior to a profit warning in 2015 – and indeed have recently been sliding further. Does an “AGM and Trading Statement” announcement today help?...

2 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

EasyJet's Income Has Taken Off, but I'm Not Sure the Share Prospects Are Flying High

Hello, Share Pingers. Budget airline EasyJet (EZJ) has issued a trading statement to say that passengers in its third quarter were up by more than nearly 11% to 22 million. Revenues improved by 16% to £1.4 billion.

2 days ago | By Steve Moore |

MediaZest – “Project Completion” update, what about some insight on results for a year finished approaching four months ago?

“Project Completion” announcement from MediaZest (MDZ) – a company with an end-March year-end but whose two previous announcements thus far in 2017, a 3rd March “New Business Update” and 8th May “Significant Project Completion” included no update on overall financial performance. Surely something now then, approaching four months after the year-end…