Hello, Share Peekers. Like some of mine, your shares are probably making some real money in this continuing bull market. But will it keep going? My own view is that it will, bolstered by the fabled Santa Rally. But watch out for the New Year Party hang-over. And even then, selected penny shares will keep on rising, as they often do when the Footsie carnival falters. Here then are some of my favourite small cap jewels, one of which has already boosted my bank balance big time. And I believe that it, and the other two selections, have further value waiting in the wings.
On 25 October the fraud African Potash (AFPO), now listed on the NEX lobster pot having been slung off AIM, managed to raise £60,000 gross (call it £45,00 net) at just 0.06p to keep the lights on. It is still drowning in liabilities and clearly insolvent. Hey ho, wind forward 12 days to today....
I start with the latest offshore revelations from the Paradise Papers. Tune into BBC 1 tonight at 9 for more fun. I delight in Margaret Hodge the Labour MP being exposed as an A grade hypocrite on this matter and then point out how it is impossible to stop folks going offshore - the answer is not to deter them with punitive UK tax. I look at Concepta (CPT) - which we own - after today's statement, Purplebricks (PURP) and shamed FinnCap's latest tech disaster Intercede (IGP) where its certainly placing ahoy. Then I cover the issues of ramping, de-ramping and stock promotion.
A 5th October trading statement saw Intercede Group (IGP) Chairman & CEO Richard Parris conclude with “confidence that we will experience a strong second half to the financial year, notwithstanding likely budget difficulties in our traditionally large US government customer base”. Now another “Trading Update”?...
Feck me this is painful. I have wasted 45 minutes of my life already and £138 (inc VAT) is about to be sent to god knows who to help create more stockmarket transparency. Feck me again, I really want to give up.
Last week SysGroup (SYS) was “pleased to announce” an acquisition (of Rockford IT Ltd), with CEO Chris Evans emphasing it “supplementing our organic growth whilst enhancing our services portfolio and providing cross selling opportunities for products and services… We believe that this acquisition enhances our position to capitalise on the substantive market opportunity available”. Sounds promising – and today a “Trading Update” announcement for the six months ended 30th September…
I laughed at last week’s announcement from URU Metals (URU) concerning the acid leaching results but I wasn’t necessarily going to comment on the meaningless tripe. However, I feel I almost have a moral duty to counter the “Speculative Buy” nonsense from its corporate broker, Beaufort Securities, so here goes.
The Jamie's Italian chain is in trouble. It emerged last week that its parent company, the holding company for the interests of the self important chef, has had to hand out, what it terms, a short-term loan to keep the chain going. Jamie has also brought in outside consultants Alix Partners to devise a turnaround for the chain which in 2016 lost £9.9 million on sales of £112 million. Despite shutting six sites in January it is still bleeding cash. There are some big takeaways from this.
In the third quarter of 2017, one in which the global economy was supposedly undergoing an unprecedented "coordinated growth spurt", and in which central banks were preparing to unveil their QE tapering intentions, in the case of the ECB, or raising rates outright, at the Fed, what was really taking place was another central bank buying spree meant to boost confidence that things are now back to normal, using "money" freshly printed out of thin air, and spent to prop up risk assets around the world by recklessly buying stocks with no regard for price or cost.
We have been following closely the story of RedX Pharma plc (REDX) as it ran out of other people’s money and went into administration. Now, after just over five months on the suspended list, the company has been successfully restructured and it is all systems go. This is very good news for the company’s shareholders, but questions remain – not least of which is what happened to the Administrators’ Final Report. The company announced it had published the whole thing on its website but I can’t find it. And the relevant filings at Companies House are still missing. No doubt they will appear, but surely the return to trading on AIM should come AFTER the market has had a chance to digest it, not before. Black marks all round then.
Shares in Strat Aero (AERO) have slumped by 30% in early trade to just 0.04p-0.05p - the question is what will the next RNS say: shares suspended pending clarification or confetti blizzard in hugely discounted share placing?
Hello Share Sneakers. It’s been a while since I commended the Man from the Pru (PRU) to you, but my positive stance has only strengthened since then. I hold a few other British insurers, like RSA (RSA) and Legal and General (LGEN), but not the Prudential. And yet it may be the most undervalued of the three.
Several of the once really popular oil and gas companies seem to have almost have been forgotten by investors, as progress has been far slower than had originally been expected and people have gone off seeking riches elsewhere.
No Hillary did not have me killed for my numerous comments on her crooked ways. I was just ill yesterday and remain so as you can hear in my voice. Joshua too is down sick and the Mrs is off to the Catalan Republic for a field trip. A joyous week lies ahead. On the shares front I look at San Leon (SLE), FastForward (FFWD) and Versarien (VRS)
On Friday AIM-listed, US-headquartered, Cayman Islands registered and operating in Georgia Frontera resources (FRR) released a Corporate Update on Progress in Georgia. As Waseem Shakoor observes, anyone who was hoping for actual production figures might be a tad disappointed, for what we got was delays and the commencement of a programme of study in relation to its Notice of Feasibility of Commercial Production as announced last April. Oh, and a nice shiny new presentation on the company website (if no countdown clock!)
I last covered BOS Global (BOS) in early September when the CEO and founder, Michael Travia, quit suddenly (HERE) and I warned about the future. At the time the share price was over 7p; it’s now 3p. For the avoidance of doubt, I don’t think it’s a bargain now but I thought it worth commenting on the continued role of Mr Travia in this ongoing decline as he is currently playing an idiotic, poor-man’s version of Darwin or Yorkville.
One of ex-fraudster Sam Antar’s golden rules for companies committing fraud is never to respond to criticism. Telit Communications (TCM), the Israel-based Internet of Things fraud, broke this rule yesterday by rushing out a badly worded rebuttal to a Sky News story which stated that the FCA had begun making enquiries into events at the company.
Tom covered the news of the failed Schoold / Lingo Media merger that FastForward Innovations (FFWD) announced on Friday in his Bearcast (HERE); however, I thought it was worth taking a closer look at the numbers and pondering when the next major write down to FastForward’s portfolio, and Lorne Abony’s reputation, will come.
It seems that Thursday's RTO of Sosandar (SOS) at 15.1p went well enough. The shares closed Friday at 20p-21p and I am very confident indeed that we loyal shareholders would have a chance to sell at well over 30p before too long. This retailer will not be disappointing with its next trading statement which, I'm sure, will force brokers to increase forecasts. But some of my fellow shareholders don't seem to be the brightest sparks or my greatest fans. From the ADVFN asylum:
I stiill read the occassional comment and email that wonders why the economics of advertising on a website doesn't work - advertising pays for ITV and the Evening Standard, both of which are paying real salaries to real staff.
In this bonus podcast prompted by recent events at African Potash (AFPO) and ADVFN (AFN) I look back on other bouts of market insanity. There was the radio boom of the 1920s and the dot com boom of 1999-2001 but is the blockchain bubble at 1999, 2000 or 2001? Among the companies also mentioned are On Line (ONL), Vela (VELA), Milestone Group (MSG) and Coinsilium (COIN), where we have a small holding. Madness, my friends, is in the air.
Last month the Jupiter Merlin group which, at one point, had £942 million invested in funds managed by Neil "nomates" Woodford announced that it was pulling out its last monies. Now another big investment group has given up on Britain's most self important fund manager. Aviva, one of the largest savings providers in Britain, has had enough.
Shares in Angus Energy (ANGS) have plunged by 36% to 17.125p today after news from the Lidsey Field which cannot be described as anything other than disappointing. Hope meets reality. At some stage the same process will see shares in UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) crash. Let's start with Angus.
Malcolm outlines a strategy today for playing AIM Casino stocks which I regard as folly. I explain why it could go disastrously wrong in two ways. Then I look at the wider asset bubble in relation to art, soccer players, real estate and new media and how that impacts on the stockmarket and will, in due course, implode.
I start this podcast with a look at Carillion (CLLN) where I wonder if Steve's damning verdict HERE is just a bit too generous. The boy is too much of a nice guy for his own good. Then it is onto the FRC which will be writing to 40 AIM and Small Cap companies ahead of them publishing FY numbers. I have a few ideas who and on what areas. The FRC are of course the UK's best regulator if only for recognising the work of the UK's top investigative financial journalist. Then I look at Angus Energy (ANGS) and finally there is a detailed discussion on MySquar (FRAUD)
Whilst many private investors go chasing rainbows and hoping for one of their oil and gas exploration plays to hit black gold, there are actually a number of AIM listed outfits which are already producing, yet don’t seem to be as popular as they are unlikely to generate large share price rises overnight.
I know sweet FA about GCM Resources (GCM) so you are on your own on this one. It has just announced an Underwritten Fundraise, to raise up to £2 million at a subscription price of 34.4p per Ordinary Share - via Primary Bid. This represents a discount of 20% to the closing mid price on Friday, 17 November, 2017. You can sign up and take part, if you wish, HERE
This is the time of year when I ask you to consider making a small donation to ensure that folks far less fortunate than we all are enjoy some real joy this Christmas. Woodlarks is a charity with whom I have worked for years. It provides a one-off service: full holiday acccomodation for those so severely disabled that they would otherwise not get such a break.
Once a year the Mrs allows me to give a lecture to her sociology students at Bath Spa University. Around 70 attended and and I did not hold back. My lecture was recorded as were the slides. Enjoy!
I suggested last week that the time had come for oil stock promotion UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) to come clean about its financial position and update the market on where it stood on its flow testing at Broadford Bridge. I suggested the shares were a sure fire short at 4.6p.
Carillion (CLLN) topped the top shorted London-listed shares at the start of 2017 (recent performance update HERE) and remained so in our Autumn update HERE. Having commenced the year above 235p, the shares had slid below 200p before a July profit warning, business review and Chief Executive “stepped down” announcement. They are currently down from above 40p to below 30p today on the back of an “Update” announcement…
Hello Share Pinchers. There are times while trading shares when one can consider suspending logic. One mistake a short-term trader can make is to expect strong balance sheets to always send share prices flying. Successful investors have a secret which is now’t to do with a firm’s fundamentals.
Actually I am in Greece on December 4 or at least on my way home after the olive harvest. But, in return for a small donation to Woodlarks, I have agreed to record a video from the Greek Hovel with a few market thoughts and a couple of share tips for Christmas.
From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...
React Group (REAT) admitted last week that it would miss forecasts for the year to 30th September. It states that the unaudited numbers show revenue of around £2.65 million and a pre-tax loss of around £400,000.
This entertaining farce (for the neutral at least) at BOS Global (BOS) moved on a step yesterday with the ex-CEO, Michael Travia, making his move to give him a shot at the assets, most notably the 40% stake In Call Design, but I’m not convinced that it will be as easy as he hopes.
I don’t think I’ve covered 3i Group (iii) before. For one thing, it’s an unattractive brand name, not meaning anything obvious. Secondly, it invests in companies, which we, as canny share shifters, are capable of doing on our own. Then our money is not eaten away by administration costs. But this company is now bowling along and you may want to consider climbing aboard.
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