ShareProphets

Wednesday 23 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


28 August 2016, 13:20 | By Chris Bailey of Financial Orbit |

Hedge funds say the Pound is sunk…which means it isn’t

I see The Sunday Times has plastered all over the front page of its business section the observation that as ‘Speculators, including hedge funds, racked up short positions on the pound worth $7.8 billion (£5.9 billion) last week — the largest ever’ the British currency is a cast iron certainty to be junked over the next few weeks or months. 

28 August 2016, 12:29 | By Pizza Hard Man Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Reader, I passed the test

In my bid to take encourage slack and take jobs that rightfully belong to hard-working Brits, I was forced to take a 'Life in the UK' test last Monday to measure my knowledge of the patron saints of the constituent countries, the voting system used in Wales, and which Roman emperor built a wall in a vain attempt to keep ancient Scots from glassing ancient northerners.

28 August 2016, 12:23 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Charge Into the First Half of This Gold Bull Market

It’s definitely not too late to get into the precious metals bull market - that is the claim made in this week's Palisade Capital podcast, by Matt Geiger. Even though the gains at the beginning of this cycle have been extreme, we still have a long way to go. These next 16-18 months should be exciting! Matt argues says that typically the real money will be made in the first half of the cycle. He recommends being aggressive in investments up to mid 2018- after that it’s likely to be less lucrative.

28 August 2016, 12:18 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Nick Davis of Memery Crystal must resign from AIM Advisory Group NOW over African Potash scandal

Nick Davis is the CEO of City law firm Memery Crystal but also sits on the board of the prestigious AIM Advisory Group. That has to end now as his role in the African Potash (AFPO) fraud comes to light. I warn African Potash that my man in London is set to supply more documents relating to yet another deal where it grossly misled investors ahead of a placing. There is worse to come and more for the SFO, FCA, FRC and AIM Regulation to get their teeth into. Now back to Davis.

28 August 2016, 11:05 | By Graham Neary |

Earnings Preview: Is HSS Hire Living on the Edge?

HSS Hire (HSS) is scheduled to release interim results on Wednesday. This bear target of our colleague Lucian Miers has had a solid share price performance so far this year, but can it last?

28 August 2016, 10:57 | By Cynical Bear |

Vale International Group – A new addition to the Sub-Standard Shockers XI

With my Sub-Standard Shockers XI squad in desperate need of bolstering with a quality addition or two, I was pleased to see the announcement this week of the publication of a prospectus for a new entrant, Vale International Group, joining the Standard Segment of the Official List on 5 September. I was less pleased when I had checked it out!

28 August 2016, 10:49 | By Tom Winnifrith |

The Chairman's Blog 6: Sir Benjamin Dover of Global Mining Endeavours writes in triumph

Following the example set by Paul Warwick the chairman of worthless penny stock Andalas (ADL) in starting a blog, Sir Benjamin Dover of AIM listed Global Mining Endeavours has decided to follow suit and like Paul promises to be Candid in his approach. Blog 6

28 August 2016, 09:58 | By Cynical Bear |

CloudTag – One follow-up question, Amit, when is the revenue warning coming?

Having also lost 25 minutes of my life listening to the CloudTag (CTAG) interview between its CEO, Amit Ben-Haim, and Justin Waite, I only have one question to add to Tom’s excellent Bearcast on the topic (HERE). When is the share price cratering revenue warning coming?

28 August 2016, 09:52 | By Tom Winnifrith |

There will be a war on Gold

Author Jim Rickards recently did an interview with Sprott in which he opined that there will be a war, by the Central Banksters and big Western Governments on gold. It is fascinating stuff. Over to Sprott:

27 August 2016, 17:58 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith & George Orwell Bearcast - the tax on the stupid goes into overdrive today

The national Lottery promises the best odds ever says the Daily Mail, a statement that may or may not be true. With a little help from George Orwell writing in 1948, a book called 1984, I examine how the tax on the stupid that is the National Lottery is in overdrive today.

27 August 2016, 17:39 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the Serious Fraud Office - please investigate African Potash

I have already alerted the FCA, AIM Regulation and the FRC to the growing scandal at African Potash (AFPO) with regard to the non disclosure of a £600,000 bung on December 1 2015 as part of a pre placing ramp. Now it is onto the Serious Fraud Office, SFO, to whom I have written today.

27 August 2016, 17:22 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Fox Marble - chat with CEO Chris Gilbert: nailing the conspiracists

There are folks out there determined to suggest that something is not qu9ite right with Fox Marble (FOX). In one sense they are correct, Fox has missed a stack of targets. We know that and it is well and truly "in the price". The conspiracists quite simply maintain that Fox is built on smoke & mirrors. They are - I believe - wrong but their war on Fox has left the shares very cheap indeed.

27 August 2016, 16:41 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

1Spatial and that CEO share sale

It was announced on 12 July that 1Spatial (SPA) CEO Marcus Hanke had sold 5 million shares at 4.45p - netting him roughly £220,000. A director share sale never goes down well and the shares have flatlined since - they are now 4.25p-4.75p.

27 August 2016, 14:52 | By Graham Neary |

88 Energy: A Case Study in the Risk Tolerance of Private Investors

For my sins, I took some time to read through 88 Energy’s Interim Report released last Monday. While continuing to believe that the attractiveness of a stock is inversely related to the number of other investors who are analysing it, I decided nevertheless to see what all the fuss was about.

27 August 2016, 13:17 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Filthy Forty – Univision prepares for court where there is only ever one winner

The last time we covered ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Univision Engineering (UVEL) is was in the wake of a profit warning regarding the trading performance of a unit it owned 52.25% of and was trying to sell. But there was also the threat of m’learned friends taking a slice as the jilted bride involved in the sale of a tranche of the company rattled the sabre. On Wednesday came this:

27 August 2016, 09:58 | By Lucian Miers |

Avocet is bust

The indiscriminate buying in the market recently has been something to behold and suggests we could soon be due a reality check. The mad monetary policy of central banks everywhere has for some time been forcing institutions into hunting down yield wherever they can find it and this has caused the equity markets and the junk bond markets to soar.

27 August 2016, 09:50 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: what will the fraudsters at African Potash do next Thursday when they need to find £800,000 pronto?

Firstly I untangle Friday's RNS from lyin' Chris Cleverley and the fraudsters at African Potash (AFPO) - folks you need to do the maths! Then I explain why, as at next Thursday, this fruadulent, out of cash piece of Turkish is screwed. The countdown is on as Katrina Clayton knows full well and the the full posse is in pursuit. Congratulations lying Chris..you have just met the Sheriff of AIM. Football fans will understand the phrase - should I get a calling card made?

27 August 2016, 08:00 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Banish Bank Holiday Blues. Your Shares May Sparkle for the Next Four Months.

It’s often overlooked by the more gloomy arm of our golden fraternity that we are now not far off that happy time of year when shares, all things being equal, will rise. They do most autumns, even when there is nor particularly jolly economic news on the horizon.

26 August 2016, 16:49 | By Steve Moore |

InterQuest & Avesco – share tip of the year updates

I previously updated on my share tips of the year just after the Brexit vote – see HERE. The following updates on developments since…

26 August 2016, 16:03 | By Graham Neary |

Tuck in to some tasty income at Restaurant Group

This morning brought interim results from Restaurant Group (RTN), the owners of 500 restaurants including Frankie & Benny’s, Chiqito and Coast to Coast. The company is not happy with its own recent performance but there are still great signs for its long-term potential.

2 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

3 days ago | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

The FRC has got it right as it slams PWC with £6 million fine but also names, shames & fines individual - Nicholas Boden

Back before the world went crazy in the nineties when folks committed or abetted financial wrongdoing they were named, shamed and punished as individuals. That was a real deterrent to crime. Then the world changed and we started fining corporations, banks, accountants and other advisers. The regulators announce seemingly large fines which meant they got newspaper headlines and seemed smart. But the banks and other advisers just treated the fines as a cost of business and so were not deterred from breaking the rules going forward. At least my very good friends at the Financial Reporting Council seems to appreciate that. The FRC is, as such, the UK's best regulator.

7 days ago | By Steve Moore |

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

It has form, shoddy ramping with grossly misleading RNS from Bushveld - placing ahoy + Cheerleader photo: SELL

This is not the first time that Buishveld Minerals (BMN) has engaged in truly sordid and shoddy ramping to get a placing away. Perhaps you remember this expose HERE which allowed me to crack a massively tasteless joke about blow jobs. The point is that pre-placing ramping back last fall left those suckered in with a really bad taste in the mouth. Wind forward to yesterday.

6 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

A Super Sewer, A Swish Station and a Big Bridge. Balfour Beatty is on a Roll

Hello Share Scraggers. Infrastructure is a buzz word at the mo. Companies which supply it (if that’s the right word) are seeing their share prices rise. You’ll recall that Big Donald climbed into power by saying he would spend a lot more on roads and other public projects in the USA. Not to mention that laughable Mexican wall. And Blighty’s government has also said it will be spending more on infrastructure.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

I will make this simple enough that even Bushveld shareholders can understand it

I'd like to start a competition to find the AIM shareholder list with the lowest average IQ. I am beginning to think that it may well be that of Bushveld Minerals (BMN). Sure its shares are up by 400% since the pump and dump of last fall (exposed HERE) and they may rise again on the latest pump and dump of yesterday (HERE) but folks need to be aware that a placing is a slam dunk cert. Oh no, say some very stupid people.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Andalas Energy: Open letter to FCA & AIM Regulation - Market Abuse & Breach of AIM Rules

I am deeply troubled by events at AIM uber dog Andalas Energy (ADL) on Monday afternoon. This is a company that has form when it comes to breaking AIM Casino Rules but on this occasion it is the advisers at Cantor Fitzgerald, whose actions have alreday cost some folks 50% of their money, who should be hung, drawn and quartered. Sadly we have gone soft on crime but at least they should be clobbered by the FCA for market abuse and AIM Regulation for breaching AIM rules. I have sent a letter.

6 days ago | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix - we buy more shares for first time in two years, price is just wrong

Thanks for all the emails on Optibiotix (OPTI). We understand seeing the shares slide back to 53p odd is alarming. To one or two of you, there is no need for such language! To the rest of you here goes.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

AIM Dog Servision: another warning and it is death spiral and dilution frenzy ahead

When serving up god-awful FY numbers on deadline day ( June 30th) it was shown that uber dog Servision (SEV) had serially misled investors and indeed told outright lies over the prior half year. Rover also served up its second profits warning in two weeks with the god-awful numbers and 'fessed up "Our working capital position is tighter than we anticipated" - I should cocoa. Today it got worse.

5 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

5 days ago | By Steve Moore |

EU Supply – does “Contract win” merit a 12% share price rise?

Having reached 18p last month, shares in e-procurement software provider EU Supply (EUSP) had slipped back slightly – but are currently further higher on the back of a “Contract win” announcement. This following a trading update earlier in the month…

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

3 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

3 hours ago | By ShareProphets |

6 tips, the one gold share that all must own, and six reasons why the stock market may crash in 2017 - The August edition of the UK Investor Show magazine is now live

The August edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring six share tips, the one gold share that all must own, and six reasons why the stock market may crash in 2017 and much more.

1 day ago | By Steve Moore |

Provident Financial – calamitous “Trading Statement”, shares plunge, another nightmare for Neil Woodford

Earlier this month in Neil Woodford - how long before The Deadwood Press admits that he does not walk on water?, Tom noted a bad record – recently including Provident Financial (PFG). The Mail on Sunday had written “the FTSE 250 doorstep lender whose profits halved after it struggled to move to a new operating model” - the struggles have got considerably worse…

1 day ago | By Cynical Bear |

Sphere Medical – Yet another Woodford debacle: it’s all becoming a bit too common

When Neil Woodford launched his Patient Capital Trust (WCPT) to much fanfare in 2015, everyone waited expectantly to see how he would start spending the £800 million war chest and so one had high hopes in April 2015 with the announcement of the first investment for the fund, namely a £4 million investment in an exciting quoted biotech play, Sphere Medial Holdings (SPHR). As an announcement last night showed, it has been as successful (or not) as one of his other uber-dogs RM2 International (RM2).

24 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A Broker warns you on Bushveld... they do it with mirrors

Once again I return to the subject of the company on AIM with the stupidest bunch of shareholders. The auditors of Bushveld Minerals (BMN) have stated explicitly that the company needs to raise fresh equity to avoid going tits up but shareholders respond by saying "how often have auditors got it wrong?" and a range of other excuses. They just do not get it at all, it is placing ahoy. Now the company has news today which the morons who own this stock seem to think is good. Ina private email this morning a top City broker put it thus:

2 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Ooh er MRS: CEO walks the plank, or was he pushed?

A surprise announcement from AIM-listed Management Resource Solutions (MRS) at 9.49am detailing board and management changes. At that time of day it hardly looks routine and it wasn’t.

1 day ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Why I'm Still Riding the Black Horse

Hello, Share Mixers. As you may have gathered, I favour investment in all four big British banks at the mo. My main reason is that each time one of them announces new figures, its balance sheet seems to have improved nicely and the share price usually shoots up.

1 day ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Winner of the Telit Leather Man Macho Insider Dealer Yosi Fait caption contest announced

We asked you for suitable captions for the picture below of the leather man who took over from the cowboy as CEO of the Telit (TCM) village people. I refer, of course, to insider dealer Yosi Fait. You offered numerous suggestions as you can see HERE but there can be only one winner and it is

3 hours ago | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the AIM casino, the world's most successful growth market

This week's Bulletin Board Moron contest is sponsored by the AIM Markets, the world's most successful growth market, now only slightly smaller than it was last year.

1 day ago | By Cynical Bear |

Red Leopard Holdings: Shock TR-1’s – Spreadex has been selling out

wrote at the weekend about the surprising lack of TR-1’s at Red Leopard Holdings (RLH), particularly from the largest shareholder Spreadex, with the company having gone into suspension pending an RTO. Well, as if by magic, they arrived yesterday, after hours of course.

1 day ago | By Chris Bailey |

Billiton gets religion...with a little help from its activist hedge fund 'friend'

It was around a year ago that I wrote an article about one of my then tips of the year BHP Billiton (BLT) observing that the world's largest mining company had just made billions of dollars of losses...but correctly the share price was going up. Billiton was a nice solid pick for 2016 but so far this year the share has been more volatile than remunerative.

1 day ago | By ShareProphets |

First Sentinel offers exposure to rare, but valuable stock opportunities

NEX Exchange listed UK Investor Show sponsor First Sentinel (FSEN) announced its move into the public markets via IPO in May 2017 and is already pushing forward with investment opportunities often reserved for institutional groups and inaccessible to retail investors. Due to management’s extensive experience and involvement in the UK, and global financial markets, First Sentinel provides value to shareholders through its unique access to a wide variety of pre-IPO, IPO, mezzanine and senior financing opportunities. The company employs a proprietary risk-control investment strategy that seeks strong upside potential while ensuring maximum downside protection.

1 day ago | By ShareProphets |

ShareProphets China AIM 'Filthy Forty' update – Pembridge Resources no deal complete, so move to standard listing edition

Since our previous update, Pembridge Resources (PERE) has followed the likes of Geong International and co in 'Geong, Geong' and then Gone from the ShareProphets China AIM 'Filthy Forty'...

24 hours ago | By Steve Moore |

Norman Broadbent – “Corporate Update & Change of Adviser”. Hmmm, how’s the balance sheet?

Self-described ‘talent acquisition & advisory services’ company Norman Broadbent (NBB) “announces the appointment of Gary Browning as Strategic Adviser to the Board and CEO, the appointment of WH Ireland as Nominated Adviser and Broker, the issue of a £300,000 loan note and the commencement of CFO succession planning”. Hmmm…

4 hours ago | By Chris Bailey |

Does WPP stand for 'What Profit Progression'?

Too many years ago to remember as a fledgling analyst and junior portfolio manager, I was told by an old hand that 'WPP is the company with the greatest correlation to the FTSE-100'. I have no idea - nor the boring Excel skills - to say whether this is true but the notion that the world's largest advertising company should broadly share the same ups and downs as the very international main UK market index makes quite a bit of sense.

6 hours ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Lost Faith in some of Your Old Favourites? Then Take a Look at this 200-year-old Niche Company

Hello, Share Smugglers. The main staples of your portfolio, I should imagine, are in these popular sectors; oil, banks, pharmaceuticals, utilities and insurance. I could be wrong, but history shows that people who invested in these areas years ago still hold the stock.