Hot share tips and all the big AIM exposes from the City's most-connected reporters
Each day until New Year's Day, we a showing a photo taken through the window of a ShareProphets reader. Today's snap is a Saharan sandstorm in Boa Vista, Cape Verde.
I wrote in May of this year that the price of Port Erin Biopharma (PEBI) was trading at a large enough discount to Net Asset Value that it was worth taking a position. At the time, it was trading in the 4-4.5p range; its now at 5.625p in the middle but with a pretty wide spread. But it is time to sell because the facts have changed substantially.
Hello Share Splodgers. Have you considered buying shares in Petrofac (PFC)? It’s one of the world’s biggest providers of infrastructure, including buildings and equipment to the oil and gas world.
If the bonkers convicted criminal Aidan Earley goes through with his threat and takes legal action against me I shall see him in court and - once again - I shall defeat him. I explain what happened last time we met and why it is vital that Earley is now crushed. If he wins I shall quit writing about shares and this website will close. You say "so what?". The point is that if Earley wins it will become suicidal to run negative articles even on the most blatant of frauds, he will have established this principle. London will become a safe haven for fraudsters. That is what Earley wants. This article HERE is referred to when I say how FEW companies I accuse of fraud, contrary to what the dirty little criminal Earley says.
A year ago I made AIM-listed Igas Energy (IGAS) my one suggestion – as a sell - as part of the ShareProphets tipfest for 2016. Without wishing to sound like a broken record, it is still a sell – and the clock is really ticking now especially in the light of this morning’s RNS.
Hello Share Hopers. Gold prices are not as high as they might be, given the shakiness of the major currencies over this year. These currencies may be come even more unstable in 2017 - the dollar, euro and pound.
Convicted criminal Aiden Earley has today sent a lawyers letter to ADVFN (AFN) threatening it, unless it removes posts made by certain individuals within 48 hours. The insurance policy ADVFN has is standard for Bulletin Boards and means that it is almost certain to remove the posts even though it knows that they are not defamatory in any way shape or form. So much for free speech in the UK.
The broken record is still going with regard to ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Taihua (TAIH) and its missing website, the share buy-back promised back in August (and funded from an Open Offer) and, of course, the update over related party receivables which the auditor wouldn’t sign off in last year’s accounts. Now, in the season of goodwill, it is time for one last missive for 2016 to the oxymorons at AIM Regulation with regard to compliance with AIM Rule 26. We just such nice guys here at ShareProphets, we just want to help.
I wasn’t writing for Shareprophets a year ago but I called Nektan (NKTN) as my bear pick of the year on 14 January and it has played out as I envisaged with the share price dropping from its 31 December 2015 price of 130p to 32p today – a drop of 75%; but I think there’s still some way to go as I sense matters are coming to a head.
Each day until New Year's Day, we a showing a photo taken through the window of a ShareProphets reader. Today's snap is by Andrew, in the snowy horrors of Ocean Grove, Victoria, Australia.
We had, according to the totally unbiased panel from the Global Shorting Conspiracy, a stonking 23 bad news RNSs released on the last trading day before Christmas - with a couple of stand-out releases from Kenmare (KMR) and TLA Worldwide (TLA) which really took the biscuit. But how many will we see this Friday, the last trading (half-) day of the year? Place your bets….
Hello Share Crunchers. May I bring to your attention Wincanton (WIN) a freight haulage firm. It’s been described as a provider of supply chain solutions, but I expect you join me in ridiculing fancy descriptions like that.
Oh dear, Oh dear. The end is not only nigh it has arrived for the fraud Worthington (WRN). On 19 December it appealed against the Court Order putting it into liquidation. The case was held at what convicted criminal Aidan must regard as his home from home, the High Court.
112 minutes after the stockmarket closed on the Friday before Christmas Avanti Communications (AVN) published a red flag strewn annual report. I have already raised one mighty red flag HERE and more will follow. But now just consider how the bombastic prick of a CEO David Williams was rewarded so handsomely for failure. Shares in Avanti are just 23p today. They were c£8 when Williams sold millions of quid worth of shares as he ramped away after the launch of Hylas 1 back in 2011.
One of yesterday's macro calls from the bearcast HERE is already looking good with today's warning from Bovis (BVS) which I cover in detail. I also look at Avanti Communications (AVN), United Cacao (CHOC), Cloudtag (CTAG), Harvest Minerals (HMI) and at the latest disastrous news about Slater & Gordon (SGH). Happy Christmas Aussie poltroons: wa,wa,wa wa wipeout! The article about the loathsome Guardian I reference is HERE
Tired of AIM boards who take the piss, bigging it up at the expense of shareholders? Yes we are too. So before going any further we note with some pleasure that half year admin expenses at Vela PLC (VELA) were just £62,000. That is good. Well done.
Lucian is off on a tour of Eastern Euroland but when asked what his top sell tip for 2017 was he was in little doubt - at almost any price the answer is Cloudtag (CTAG) with a target price of nil. Actually Lucian does not see the shares hitting zero. However...
Recent half-year results from Tungsten Corporation (TUNG) sought to emphasise “statutory loss after tax £4.5 million, a £15.5 million improvement over H1-FY16”. However, not included in this comparison is that the prior period loss included £6.8 million of non-cash impairment and £2.3 million of finance cost foreign exchange losses against, respectively, none and a £5.2 million gain this time around. Capitalised, at a current 53.75p bid price, at approaching £68 million and it looking like there is further prodigious cash burn ahoy, the shares are a sell…
When I started bearcasts the plan was not to do them on a daily basis. But that is the way they are now produced. I have the odd day off but I enjoy recording. You cannot generate a typo in a bearcast. Sometimes the language is extreme, sometimes - as when, like now, I am with my father, - I speak like an Angel. The point is I say what I think and for some reason, most weeks, the bearcasts are always among the most read articles on ShareProphets.
Challenger Acquisitions (CHAL) has a been a common target for me this year and it doesn’t surprise me that its share price has collapsed from 37.5p when I first wrote on the subject back in January to 11.875p today – a drop of 68%. However, I think there’s plenty more to go and would actually be surprised if it still existed by this time next year.
Nine share tips tips, defending Churchill, and not missing Nigel Wray. And much more...
If it was not ouzo o'clock at the Sheriff's Greek bolt-hole after the Servision (SEV) debacle it sure is now after UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) fessed up to disastrous news from Broadford Bridge. We bear have been utterly vindicated but there is far worse to come for the morons who thought they knew better - the shares have slumped to 1.9p but they will now inevitably fall to as low as 0.5p in the coming weeks.
As I write shares in AA Group (AA.) are down by 23% at 89p and you will never gbuess which high profile fund manager is a major holder, largely for the dividend income. Yup you got it, its Neil Woodford and yes the dividend is being slashed.
You may say that fundamentals don't matter on the AIM casino. In the short run you are right - sentiment drives share prices. But in due course fundamentals always out and that inherent valuation mismatch is your opportunity to buy cheap, unloved, stock or to short over-promoted crap. And that brings us to UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), now just 1.375p after yesterday's disastrous news from Broadford Bridge. So what is it really worth?
Once again Waseem Shakoor has been vindicated and those morons who ignored his sensible analysis and attacked him have done their conkers. Waseem stays short of UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and his tweets over the past 24 hours ( starting with the most recent) explain why. I think his analysis of where next is very similar to mine of earlier. Over to the great man...
"CEO Gidon Tahan, ex broker Beaufort Securities, Auditors Hays Macintyre, PR himbo Christian Taylor Wilkinson, lacky Nomad Nick Athanas of Allenby, financiers Yorkville, the Bulletin Board Morons we have beaten them all, we have beaten them all!). Servision, can you hear me? Servision ... your boys took a hell of a beating! Your boys took a hell of a beating!"
"I am tomorrow, or some future day, what I establish today. I am today what I established yesterday or some previous day." So said the great Irish author James Joyce. But the question for lackey Nomad James Joyce at WH Ireland is whether his client UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) has a tomorrow, has a future day at all? A statement is needed now to clarify the financial position of his client.
Premaitha Health (NIPT) has announced an exclusive partner agreement to offer the IONA non-invasive prenatal test across Egypt and a first Egyptian customer…
Just when I was losing hope that my insights into the world of frilly curtains and related were proving next to useless, my old pal Dunelm (DNLM) loses another senior executive! To be fair the news that 'Keith Down, its Chief Financial Officer, has informed the Board that he will step down in June to take up a role closer to his family home' is not as shocking as the CEO resignation I talked about in my last piece about the 'UK leading homewares retailer' but the executive revolving door is continuing apace...and has helped push the shares back down to the level I first wrote about them at last August.
Last October I talked positively about Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) versus one of its challenger peers, noting:
Hello, Share Surfers. Ever since my fellow scribe, Cynical Bear recommended Biome (BIOM) I’ve kept a close eye on the share. I also had a punt after reading the article and am now sitting on a gain sneaking up on 40%.
KEFI Minerals (KEFI) has updated that its “activities have been unaffected as regards its daily interface with the various government agencies and with the community at Tulu Kapi” following the Ethiopian Prime Minister’s recent resignation and the concurrently announced State of Emergency - and that it “believes its finance plans remain unaffected”…
Digital retail technology and enterprise software group Sanderson (SND) has updated on trading and that it has “a good level of confidence that the group will make continued progress in the current financial year ending 30 September 2018”…
Shares in traffic and rail software and services provider Tracsis (TRCS) have recently fallen back below 500p, but are currently rebounding on the back of a Trading Update…
Previously updating, we noted HaiKe Chemical Group (HAIK) potentially in the 'geong, geong' stage. There has since been developments - and what does the 'Filthy Forty' look like now?...
Corporate and public sector interiors company Havelock Europa (HVE) “is pleased to announce an agreement in principle to secure additional funding for the company. The company also provides an update on trading in respect of the year ended 31 December 2017”…
Previously writing on energy services company Flowgroup (FLOW) in December I concluded there looks much to do, including noting potential working capital support required. There’s now a Funding Facility and Related Party Transaction announcement…
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