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Tom
premium content

FREE Podcast: ShareProphets Radio Edition NINE with Tom Winnifrith starring Carson Block of Muddy Waters

In this ninth edition of the ShareProphets Radio podcast, sponsored by Yorkville Advisors, in order I  chat to Antony Laiker,a friend despite being my stockbroker, a dinosaur like myself and the boss of AIM listed Vela (VELA). You may need to turn up the violume on his ansswers. Then it is onto Carson Block of Muddy Waters discussing Burford (BUR) and much else in great detail. Carson does not pull his punches and, to my mind, explains convincingly why his latest target will crater.If you like this and can't wait seven days for more of the same you should listen to my Bearcast every day.

AHT

It's the American Connection that Could Make Ashtead Shares Too Speculative

Hello Share Touslers. It’s hard to get my head round my present view of Ashtead (AHT), the massive tool hire company. The share price is often among the highest risers in the Footsie. And I confess I have made more money out of it than many of my winners. And yet I sold all my shares far too early, at 1800p. They’re now around 2300p...

LSAI

Location Sciences – new contract… but how are the financials looking?

Shares in Location Sciences Group (LSAI) have recently slid back below 3p, but are currently recovering above this on the back of a “Contract with Vicinity Media” announcement…

VLTY

Veltyco – a new loan “convertible… at a price of 8p per new ordinary share”. BUT...

“Convertible Loan” news online marketing and operating company for the gaming industry, Veltyco (VLTY) “is pleased to announce” – with the announcement including “the convertible loan is convertible at any time by the noteholder at a price of 8p per new ordinary share… the convertible loan will automatically convert into ordinary shares if the closing mid-market price of an ordinary share is 15p or more for 25 consecutive business days”. Ooooh – 8p and 15p hey!, with the shares then 3.2p – they currently rising above 4.5p. However…

ESL
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Eddie Stobart: interims still delayed, strategic review, discussions with lenders and dividend scrapped. Oh dear…..it looks utterly grim for shareholders, including Neil Woodford

The old stockmarket adage that delayed news is always bad news held true this morning when AIM-listed Eddie Stobart Logistics (ESL) updated the market on its accounting review and the lack of interim results – which are still not ready. It is all bad news – and very bad news for Neil Woodford who holds about 23% of the equity: the dividend has been scrapped and we had the announcement of what amounts to a strategic review. Of course, strategic reviews are themselves a red flag of more bad news to come. It is grim.

VRS
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Versarien – nearly time to deliver

Earlier this month Haydale Graphene (HAYD) released an announcement with the headline: Haydale Awarded Funding to Develop Airbus Approved Space Technology, in which a contract awarded by the European Space Agency was proudly proclaimed. The size of both the funding and the contract were not disclosed as is usually the case with these trifling disclosures and the Haydale share price (sub 2p) scarcely moved, leaving its market cap little changed at around £5 million. It struck me, however, that had Versarien (VRS) - market cap £167 million - made an identical RNS the market cap would probably have risen, at least temporarily, by several times that of Haydale’s total worth, such is the fervour that the company still inspires amongst its loyal retail following. But the point at which Versarien must start to deliver is approaching...

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Recording with an audience but I can't tell you why

All will be revealed soon. Meanwhile I discuss Eddie Stobart (ESL), Circassia (CIR), Thomas Cook (TCG), Amur Minerals (AMC), Neil Woodford and Watchstone Group (WTG), Quindell as was.

ALFA
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Alfa Financial Software – two and a half months since half-year end cares to update & surprise, surprise…

“Alfa Financial Software Holdings PLC ('Alfa') provides the following update on trading, ahead of its interim results which will be released on Thursday 26 September”. Hmmm – why such an update so close to the results announcement? – and not ‘pleased to provide’ I immediately note…

LSE
premium content

I shockingly agree with Vince Cable on the London Stock Exchange

I put my hands up and admit there are some companies about which I just cannot get my head around their share valuation. One of these is the London Stock Exchange (LSE) which - from the perspective of its share price appreciation over recent years - has performed rather well. Yes, I get the natural monopoly angle and some well-timed expansions into different markets and different products, but a x54 P/E and a measly 0.5% dividend yield are starting metrics that indicate...enthusiasm rather than value. And then, of course, there are the range of critiques that this website has highlighted for example, here. Anyhow, back to me and Vince…

BMV
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Bluebird Merchant Ventures – Gubong permit moves it ‘transformationally’ closer to gold production

Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV) “is pleased to announce that confirmation has been received that the ‘Permit to  Develop’ the Gubong Mine has been granted”

Timebomb

The 10 stages of a property bubble and crash

The 10 stages of a property bubble and crash...

Oil-Rig

Shell and BP Come To Mind as Drone Attacks Hit Saudi Oil and Gas Production

Hello, Share Beasts. There was a drone attack on oil refineries in Saudi Arabia at the weekend. As I write this, it’s not possible to gauge the effect on the price of Brent Crude, but it's likely to send it higher. Saudi Arabia is the world’s biggest oil producer. A tenth of the world’s oil and gas comes from the kingdom...

Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 2 very exciting events

I discuss one of them in full. One have referred to before, part 2 is tomorrow bt I can't say what it is for another few weeks. Then I look at today's Neil Woodford shocker Benevolent AI and how much Neil personally has trousered from valuations now shown to be a joke. Then the attack on Saudi Arabia and what it means for oil prices, gold and the global economy. It is not as dramatic as if this had happened in the 1970s. But there is a dramatic scenario to consider.

WPCT
premium content

Woodford Dog BenevolentAI: as predicted......but it is good news really!

The Sunday Times carries a scoop that Neil Woodford's play on revolutionising biotech, BenevolentAI - held in both WPCT and his Equity Income Fund - is being written down because of a fundraise. Of course, ShareProphets worked it out a few days ago when WPCT announced a writedown to an un-named stock but the Sunday Times has it confirmed. 

ICON

Iconic owning morons the gift that keeps on giving

Folks who own shares in companies that repeatedly lie via RNS are clearly morons. And as Gary highlighted earlier, Iconic (ICON) is just drowning in red flags.But still its investors continue to demonstrate on twitter just how thick as pigshit they really are as I showed yesterday HERE and HERE. Now for another dose....

MTRO
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New Sunday shocker on two old 'friends': Metro Bank and Cineworld

Fresh back from the Sunday morning bike ride I dip into the (online) Sunday press and see a couple of relevant stories for two old 'friends' I have written about on these pages just a few times. 

ICON
premium content

Iconic Labs leaves too many unanswered questions to make it investable

All small companies need cash and ideally that will be spent on adding value to the business rather than just to cover its running costs.

ESL
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Eddie Stobart Logistics: Where, oh where, are the interims? Statement needed Monday.

AIM-listed Eddie Stobart Logistics  (ESL) was spun out of Stobart Group (STOB) is, of course, a Woodford Dog – Neil holds about 23% of the stock. When the shares were suspended last month in the wake of an accounting scandal because the interims would be delayed, we were told that the numbers would appear in early September. Well, they haven’t appeared and the next opportunity for release falls on Monday – the sixteenth of the month. According to my maths, that will therefore be the second half of September. Where are the numbers?

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: Lawless high seas, Warren v Obama, Trump's "Genius", Live with Climate Change, Bungled North Korea raid

Is there anything better than sitting back and reading a well-written article on a lazy Sunday? Every week ShareProphets features some long form journalism that you'll find of interest. Grab your cuppa and enjoy these five articles. 

I3E
premium content

I3Energy: Farce or worse? - RNS incoming Monday at 7am but still uninvestable

I have commented on I3Energy (I3E) over the last few days concluding this company is uninvestable and noting the company Nomad seems to agree with me. After market close on Friday the company PR man issued an e-mail update to some shareholders. It confirms my thinking. This company is utterly uninvestable at best.

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