After many years of scratching around Southern Africa for a project with real prospects AIM listed Boabab (BAO) appears to have found something that could be a winner in the form of the Tete pig iron/vanadium/titanium target in Mozambique. With iron ore stocks all rallying sharply in the past two or three months on the back of hopes of resurgence in Chinese demand, Baobab shares have raced ahead to 35.75p which values this company at £106 million. This is a stock that has now got far ahead of its fundamental value and I can reveal that last week well known bear raider Lucian Miers opened up a short. That is a good call which you should follow.
Earlier this month I advocated a purchase of National Grid (NG.) for dividend yield. This week the company published its interim management statement for the period 1 October 2012 to 28 January 2013. It seems that my reading of the runes were pretty much correct. Regulatory management is shown to be going according to plan and shows no obvious signs of not moving into an expected new dance like embrace of mutual understanding and agreement between the regulator and company for the years following 2013.
I commented previously on London and Australia-listed, Philippines-focused gold producer Medusa Mining (MML) earlier this month. Earlier this week the shares suffered a bit of a setback on the company’s publication of its quarterly activity report (to end December 2012) which has spooked some investors into selling. On balance that is, in my view, a mistake.
AIM-listed Sirius Minerals (SXX) has announced it has delivered application documents for the onshore mining and mine access infrastructure for its York potash project to the North York Moors National Park Authority. This news on what is a potentially significant development in the UK has helped shares in Sirius – which commenced 2010 at sub 5p and 2011 at sub 14p – slightly higher to a current 27.75p, capitalising the company at £373 million. The following reviews today’s announcement from the company and the investment proposition here…
AIM-listed, Russia producing miner Highland Gold (HGM) has published a calendar 2012 trading update which reads very well. There was an 18% increase in group wide production to a record 216,885 ounces of gold and gold equivalents, exceeding guidance estimates of 200,000-215,000 ounces. The shares have ticked up to 114.5p on the news capitalising the company at £372.5 million. I wrote positively on them, at 91p, shortly before Christmas so I am already partially vindicated. But this re-rating has a lot further to go.
On Christmas Eve I noted that there looked to be value in shares in main market listed Aquarius Platinum (AQP) at 55p. Earlier this month the shares hit more than 75p but currently trade at 62.25p, capitalising the company at £296 million, following the announcement today of production results for the quarter ended 31st December 2012. So is it time to bank gains and sell?
Shares in all of the Falklands oil plays are ahead today thanks to a presentation by Border’s & Southern (BOR) which seems to have excited a few folk although to me it seems to contain a lot of ifs and jam tomorrow. I remain bearish on that stock but even more so on Falklands Oil & Gas (FOGL) , shares in which are 3% ahead on the Borders hype at 32.5p. I have been a long time bear of this company and would regard this temporary spike as an ideal cue for shareholders to get out for reasons that I explain below.
Russian Oil Producer Ruspetro (RPO) has announced a partial debt for equity swap and refinancing of its remaining debts. This is good news. However before those who ignored my advice to sell at 83.5p on 4th January after an almost comical well after hours profits warning start to celebrate this company still faces serious issues. The shares have bounced back to 49.5p but while they are no longer a short I would still regard them as one to avoid.
AIM-listed provider of mobile, Software-as-a-Service and telecom software products and services Globo Plc (GBO) has today announced that it “has achieved a financial performance for 2012 ahead of market expectations” and that, having completed a “transformation into a truly international technology vendor in the hottest place in the technology market today”, it aims to continue doing so. With, on the back of the trading update, the shares currently more than 6% higher at 29.5p, capitalising the company at £100 million is it too late to get on board?
Earlier this week Afren plc (AFR), a FTSE-250 oil and gas exploration and production company which despite its size remains a darling of the Bulletin Boards, updated investors on its performance in 2012 and its outlook. This review helped the shares up to 152.5p although they have subsequently slipped back to 147p which capitalises the company at £1.595 billion. Chartists will note that 152p proved a resistance level ten months ago and failure to breach that level ( which had been support a ten months prior to that) saw the shares fall back to 100p. But I’d rather burn my West Ham season tickets and start supporting Spurs than become a Technical analyst and so I review the fundamental case.
Shares in UK online grocer and FTSE-250 constituent Ocado Group (OCDO) closed more than 6% higher, at 101p, yesterday on the back of news that the high-profile ex-Marks & Spencer boss Sir Stuart Rose is to take a Non-Executive Chairman role at the company. With this following a trading update from the company last week, the following is my take on the current investment proposition here…
Cape (CIU), the FTSE 250 constituent which provides essential, non-mechanical support services to the energy and mineral resources sectors had a pretty dreadful 2012. On 29th March its CEO Martin May stood down with immediate effect. Six months later we had a repeat announcement, this time it was the FD going. In between the company served up a dismal set of interim numbers,
Telecom Plus (TEP), now a FTSE-250 constituent, is a very successful past share recommendation from myself. I recommended the shares at 187.25p in January 2008 on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and ran until September when I left and set up the Nifty Fifty website. Prematurely, I banked gains at 691p in July 2011. The shares dipped below 600p that August but have since risen again, to currently trade at 975.5p, capitalising the company at more than £687 million. The following details my current view…
AIM-listed international online fashion retailer ASOS (ASC) has published a positive update on December trading – sending the shares up to £26.60, which capitalises it at more than £2.19 billion. The following reviews the trading announcement and current investment proposition from this company that great bear Evil Knievil has consistently shorted and consistently got wrong…
UK pub owner and operator and FTSE-250 constituent JD Wetherspoon (JDW) has today provided an update on current trading ahead of its results for the six months ending 27th January 2013, which are expected to be announced on 15th March. The share price has risen from a little over 370p in May to 518.5p at the close today but I am struggling to see why anyone should get that excited about the state of play.
London and Australia listed Philippines gold producer, Medusa Mining (MML) is a top recommendation from my past. I recommended the shares on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and left in September 2012 to establish the Nifty Fifty, at 49p in August 2008 and recommended selling at 426.5p in December 2010.
The observation about things being in the price is usually a prelude to the conclusion that a share price is well up with events; more than discounting prospects and one where a profit should be taken. On this occasion, in respect to that dullest of shares, the National Grid, (NG.) it means the opposite. Dull and boring, as my friend and former t1ps colleague Tom Winnifrith often says in relation to shares, is sexy. At my age I have long forgotten what he means by that but I think I get his general point and agree.
It was not a good Autumn for AIM listed Shanta Gold (SHG) but the last two RNS statements from the company demonstrate that it is both soundly financed and that, at last, it is delivering operationally. The shares have always had clear latent value it is just that investors have had a number of (utterly valid) reasons for not believing. But the times they are a changing.
The Christmas trading reports from the retailers do not make for pretty reading. There are some who simply cite consumer confidence (or lack of it) in austerity Britain. But I would suggest that there are far wider structural changes afoot, ones that make me wonder if some companies really have a raison d’etre at all going forward. If it did not exist already would anyone bother to establish Mothercare (MTC)? Somehow I rather doubt it. Certainly when it publishes its Christmas trading statement on Thursday it will be grim.
Medical matters are on my mind as I have the Norovirus. But it takes more than that to stop me writing about companies but naturally my mind turns to drugs. Well I was a young man in the sixties – the 1960s not the 1860s before you ask. Talking of ancient history, the market long ago abandoned the assumption that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) would automatically build a pathway for shareholders to a starlight future of endless profits and earnings growth, by simply spending 15% of its sales revenue on R&D, and turning that into an approved blockbuster therapy every few years. In truth, costs rose and progress became more difficult – the return on R&D capital was not acceptable.
What will Father Christmas be putting in the stockings of the writers of ShareProphets, nine share tips, plus what sexism at the BBC
In the excitement I forgot to mention Nomates but you can see a chart below that he'd rather you did not. It is self explanatory and my father wants to clarify that like Larry Cummins of Milestone (MSG) infamy he does not have a degree from Oxford. But unlike Lyin' Larry he has two. I discuss Milestone, Blue Prism (PRSM), AIQ (AIQ), 13 Energy (I3E) and focus on Frontera Resources (FRR) and include in my coverage the sordid role of fat bastard, that is to say Malcolm Graham Wood.
The Financial Reporting Council has today fined audit firm ArrandCo, formerly known as RSM Tenon, £1 million ( reduced by 30% for co-operating) and audit partner Jeremy Filley £80,000 ( reduced to £56,000) for allowing the fraud Quindell (QPP) to publish fraudulent 2011 accounts. No doubt Snot Gobbler Dan McCrum at the FT is again about to produce a timeline taking credit for this but the FRC has stated explicitly that it widened its enquiries to include the 2011 accounts only because of specific allegation raised by me as you can see HERE. These fines are down to my work, not that the deadwood press will ever acknowledge that. So how did Rob Terry and his associated in the Quenron gang, cook the books with the help of Filley and RSM Tenon.
I start with today's personal triump on Quindell (QPP). And it is a real personal triumph for me, not that the deadwood press or my critics will recognise that. I then cover Milestone (MSG) - Ho Ho Ho - Pets At Home (PETS), Joshua's fave store, N Brown (BWNG), Worldwide Blockchain (BLOC) and Velocity (VEL) another dog from the FinnCap kennel.
There is a new kid on the twitter block, @ariadnecapitals seems to ask a lot of questions of the Ariadne Group and Julie Meyer as you can see below. How long before Julie sends a lawyers' letter to get it shut down?
To lose 25% of your market capitalisation in less than a month looks a bit like carelessness but that is what UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) has managed. The real issue is that it is grossly overvalued on a fundamental basis - the shares should be sub 1p. The immediate issue is the news from Broadford Bridge. Or rather lack of it.
Folks can ignore the warnings of myself, Nigel Somerville and Waseem Shakoor about the overvalued ramp stock Frontera (FRR) if they wish. But the City's No 1 oil analyst Zac "The Knife" Phillips has just published a very specific and damning note. No doubt "fat bastard" Malcolm Graham Wood will ignore this real analysis as he continues ramping the shares with misleading statements in return for generous cash payments to buy yet more pies. But it might pay the Bulletin Board Morons to listen to someone who is not on the payroll and does know what he is talking about. Over to The Knife...
AIM-listed Milestone Group (MSG) has been up to its neck in controversy for over a year now, but I wonder if the company has had some bad news it hasn’t quite got around to sharing. This is regarding its blockshain spoofery (oops), I mean its software license agreement with Black Cactus Global Inc (Envoy Group as was) which we were told it had entered into on 6 December.
Oh BBMs, lap up the nonsense coming out of AIM-listed Frontera (FRR) this morning. Please buy lots of shares, for there are lots more coming. We had expected an update on the company’s work on the Ud-2 well in Georgia, but this morning’s effort offered no numbers to go on and some strange terminology.
On last month-announced results for its half year ended 30th September 2017, we noted Premaitha Health (NIPT) currently looking at positive pre-litigation cashflows, but that there remained risk of low cash headroom or even a cash shortfall including if further litigation-related costs are required. There’s now a Secured loan facility agreement with Thermo Fisher announcement.
Looking at all bull markets in the S&P since the year 1900, and then examined what happened in the very first year after each of those bull markets ended is interesting. In the first year of the bear market after the last full year of the bull market the numbers were striking and could be useful if 2017 ends up being the peak of the bull market.
Hello, Share Punchers. Are you getting along with your 2016-17 tax return? Only about a week to go now before the end of January when you’ll have to pay more if you don’t file in time. Luckily, many Armchair Tycoons are no longer troubled too much with capital gains tax as most of our holdings are in ISAs. For this reason, it’s well worth keeping your ISA topped up.
Accrol Group (ACRL) has announced results for its half year ended 31st October 2017 including “revenue increased by 13.1% to £72.3m” and “the group remains well placed to benefit from its strong position as a major UK supplier of non-discretionary tissue products into the consumer value sector… Growth in these sectors is being driven primarily by increasing Private Label product sales, which continue to take market share from well-known brands”. Sounds promising…
Plant Impact (PIM) has announced an R&D collaboration on “a newly identified small molecule and chemical analogues proven to increase plant biomass” – emphasising potential suitability for several ongoing company projects and others “that could lead to the development and commercialisation of significant new crop enhancement technologies”…
Previously writing on Goals Soccer Centres (GOAL) it was a month after interim results disappointment, “directorate change” - with I concluding, with the shares at circa 90p, “I’d suggest Jones’ impending departure after little more than 15 months in-situ a further far from encouraging sign of the outlook here. I continue to avoid”. Today a “Post Close Trading Update”…
Hello Share Squelchers. Now, what the heck do I do? I was all psyched up to flog my entire holding in Versarien (VRS) after the Pizza Hardman’s tip became a near four-bagger, when I lost my phone. (Yes, you're dealing with a real pro, here).
Previously writing in November on promotions and rewards technology group Eagle Eye Solutions (EYE) I noted argues “delivering on our strategy”, but cash concerns - cash burn having taken cash at the end of September down to £1.7 million. Now the company “is pleased to announce” a trading update for its half year ended 31st December…
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