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Making Money from Black Swan Events as a short and why equity markets look toppy

By Amanda Van Dyke | Sunday 8 March 2015

 

 I am a gold bull. Soo too is David Skarica and, like him, I am pretty nervous about equity market valuations right now. As I fly back to London from PDAC I am not any more bullish about shares in general than when I left. Skarica is the guest of my colleagues at Palisade Capital on this week’s podcast and explains his thoughts in detail also explaining how small short positions can make you a potential Black Swan killing.

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Market News

AAL
Anglo American (#AAL) – all-share offer proposal from BHP Group, currently reviewing with its advisers
 25 April 2024, 07:55
AAU
Ariana Resources (#AAU) – conditional all-share agreement to acquire Rockover Holdings and to seek dual-listing on Australian Securities Exchange
 25 April 2024, 07:51
ARB
Argo Blockchain (#ARB) – 2023 even operating loss of $19.4m, notes Q1 2024 net debt of $41.6m
 25 April 2024, 07:48
LSEG
London Stock Exchange (#LSEG) – Q1 adj. organic income +6.4% YoY, “on track to deliver all financial guidance”
 25 April 2024, 07:45
SMWH
WH Smith (#SMWH) – H1 adj. EPS +5% to 24.4p, DPS up to 11p, “good start to the second half”
 25 April 2024, 07:41
ULVR
Unilever (#ULVR) – Q1 “underlying sales” +4.4% YoY, FY outlook unchanged including “modest improvement in underlying operating margin”
 25 April 2024, 07:37
SBRY
J Sainsbury (#SBRY) – FY adj. EPS -4% to 22.1p, DPS maintained at 13.1p, expects “profit leverage” in year ahead
 25 April 2024, 07:34
PSN
Persimmon (#PSN) – Q1 “in line with expectations”, recent “robust visitor numbers and enquiries”
 25 April 2024, 07:30
IBST
Ibstock (#IBST) – Q1 adj. EBITDA in line with expectations though only with cost reductions, argues recent lead indicators suggest some demand improvement
 25 April 2024, 07:27
TPK
Travis Perkins (#TPK) – Q1 revenue -4.9% YoY, -3.7% LFL, “macroeconomic uncertainty continues to impact demand”
 25 April 2024, 07:22

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Recent Comments

That Was the Week that Was

Thursday »

VNET

Vianet – emphasises contract win & trading momentum, but how much is already priced-in?…

 

AAU

Ariana – Surprise!

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: What Argo Blockchain hides in the small print

 

KMK

Kromek – ‘pleased to receive’ new nuclear security contract, how pleasing really is it though?…

 

CTAI

Catenai – this is bonkers: Liam Murray on the funny fags again?

 

TRI

Trifast – “expected to be marginally ahead of guidance”. Er, that which was massively downgraded since its half-year?…

 

TERN

Tern: is this an admission that it deceived investors (again) on 12 April?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: the Ariana Zimbabwe merger and M&A activity among gold miners, is it yet a frenzy?

 

DISP

Dispensa the last rats jump: a preview of how the frauds Supply and Regtech will fail

 

CORO

James Parsons given the order of the boot – Coro suspended: and there is more to come

 

AAL

Anglo American (#AAL) – all-share offer proposal from BHP Group, currently reviewing with its advisers

 

AAU

Ariana Resources (#AAU) – conditional all-share agreement to acquire Rockover Holdings and to seek dual-listing on Australian Securities Exchange

 

ARB

Argo Blockchain (#ARB) – 2023 even operating loss of $19.4m, notes Q1 2024 net debt of $41.6m

 

LSEG

London Stock Exchange (#LSEG) – Q1 adj. organic income +6.4% YoY, “on track to deliver all financial guidance”

 

SMWH

WH Smith (#SMWH) – H1 adj. EPS +5% to 24.4p, DPS up to 11p, “good start to the second half”

 

ULVR

Unilever (#ULVR) – Q1 “underlying sales” +4.4% YoY, FY outlook unchanged including “modest improvement in underlying operating margin”

 

SBRY

J Sainsbury (#SBRY) – FY adj. EPS -4% to 22.1p, DPS maintained at 13.1p, expects “profit leverage” in year ahead

 

PSN

Persimmon (#PSN) – Q1 “in line with expectations”, recent “robust visitor numbers and enquiries”

 

IBST

Ibstock (#IBST) – Q1 adj. EBITDA in line with expectations though only with cost reductions, argues recent lead indicators suggest some demand improvement

 

TPK

Travis Perkins (#TPK) – Q1 revenue -4.9% YoY, -3.7% LFL, “macroeconomic uncertainty continues to impact demand”

Wednesday »

AOM

ActiveOps – trading update, building on “strong foundations established since IPO”?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Dirty tricks by the Tirupati board or just a total moron?

 

SRT

SRT Marine Systems – “remains in line with market expectations”, what those which were recently downgraded? And now with possible problems in the Philippines…

 

STX

I’d be nervous ahead of Shield Therapeutics results on 30th April

 

FTC

Filtronic – trading and “strategic agreement” announcements, was I too cautious to have just had the shares on the watchlist?

 

MEX

Tortilla Mexican – I just do not understand what Lucky Luke Johnson is playing at!

 

AAZ

Anglo Asian Mining – Q1 update, expects to receive a transformative permit “shortly”

 

TGR

BREAKING: Sack the board call at Tirupati by a serious team

 

VID

Videndum – 2023 results, argues “strong” confidence in post-strikes recovery… but still currently below expectations!

 

CAPD

Capital Limited – Q1 update, an already winning share tip with further to go

 

Welsh_Flag

The Welsh just like being spanked by Nanny State at 20 mph – reports from the last village in Wales: Tom Winnifrith

 

MEX

Tortilla Mexican Grill (#MEX) – 2023 another loss and net debt

 

G4M

Gear4music (#G4M) – FY sales -5%, argues reflects prioritisation of margins

 

JET2

#JET2 – pleased with progress, but “recently, pricing has been more competitive”

 

NICL

Nichols (#NICL) – Q1 revenue -5.9% YoY, argues still “well placed to deliver profitable growth”

 

PZC

PZ Cussons (#PZC) – Q3 LFL revenue +6.4%, but at reported FX -23.7% “primarily as a result of the devaluation of the Nigerian Naira”

 

RKT

Reckitt Benckiser (#RKT) – Q1 LFL net revenue +1.5% YoY, but more than offset by FX headwinds

 

BNZL

Bunzl (#BNZL) – Q1 LFL revenue -5.4% YoY, argues “strategic progress”

 

ABDN

abrdn (#ABDN) – Q1 AUMA up to £507.7bn, “actions underway to address outflows in Adviser and equities”

 

LLOY

Lloyds Banking Group (#LLOY) – Q1 net income -9% YoY and post-tax profit down to £1.2bn

 

BREE

Breedon (#BREE) – Q1 LFL revenue -9% YoY, “economic landscape remains uncertain”

Tuesday »

Clown

A failed fund manager insists Government Finances are in great shape whatever we doomsters say

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: is it racist to wish you a Happy St George's Day?

 

IKA

Ilika – “Capital Markets Day and Trading Update”, attempted ramptastic and cash burn?…

 

JAY

Bluejay Mining, I am confused, surely it and disgraced Nomad SP Angel are not telling porkies (again)?

 

ROAD

Roadside Real Estate (ex-Barkby Disaster) – Still Suspended (No Accounts) But A Bonkers Refinancing

 

TBLD

tinyBuild – 2023 results argue “has the capability to deliver over the coming years”. Does it though?…

 

AVCT

Avacta: Now just 43.75p and I am still sitting on the fence with Evil Banksta

 

Gold

Gold suffers largest 1 day drop in 14 months, "don't panic" says Ross Norman

 

88E

Gotcha: 88 Energy ‘ fesses to placing at just 0.16p but it naturally misleads investors

 

BATS

Scrap the BAT dividend – its not as daft as it sounds

 

Bear

Photo article: it's grim up North as Lucian ramps up the training

 

Welsh_Flag

Every Year this happens in the garden here at the Welsh Hovel - Tom Winnifrith

 

88E

88 Energy (#88E) – proposed placing as per @tomwinnifrith, @shareprophets, but only “up to A$9.8 million” despite a 40% discount!

 

BEN

Bens Creek (#BEN) – notes a General Meeting requisition “to discuss the operational and strategic challenges”

 

BEN

Bens Creek (#BEN) – “debtor-in-possession” financing update following commencement of Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Court cases

 

JUP

Jupiter Fund Management (#JUP) – Q1 AUM up to £52.6bn, but £1.6bn net outflows

 

RWS

#RWS Holdings – expects H1 adj. PBT down to approx. £45m with some “ongoing headwinds”

 

GBG

GB Group (#GBG) – expects FY adj. Op profit of approx. £61.2m, “driven by a focus on simplification and cost-effectiveness”

 

TW

Taylor Wimpey (#TW.) – notes net private sales 0.73 per outlet per week (2023: 0.75), states positioning for growth from 2025

 

THG

#THG – Q1 “continuing revenue” +4.5% constant currency, +2.1% actual YoY, expectations “remain unchanged”

 

ABF

Associated British Foods (#ABF) – H1 EPS up to 87.4p, DPS to 20.7p, “on track to deliver… ahead of expectations”

 

JD

JD Sports Fashion (#JD.) – proposed acquisition of US sports fashion retailer Hibbett, Inc. for $1.11bn Enterprise Value

Monday »

88E

BREAKING: 88 Energy has been trying to get a A$20 million placing away - City Source

 

MIND

Mind Gym – emphasises “significantly improved second half performance”, but sufficiently improved for the valuation?…

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: No Comrade Brian Basham you are a crackpot commie and wrong about capitalism

 

LSE

The London Stock Exchange bats for More Lesbian Visibility or is it less?

 

MTEC

Made Tech – “awarded £19.5m new contract”. Is it to be £19.5m though and should it could command a near 46% share price rise?…

 

TM1

Technology Minerals hooks up with a right Wanke – smoke and mirrors disposal, $10m my arse!

 

AFRN

Aferian – “positioned… on the strongest possible foundation for the future”. Er, what about the trading warning, maturing banking facility & upcoming lack of CEO?!

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: the chatroom gerbils rush to defend bent CEO Russel Fryer of Critical Metals

 

PFC

Keep Selling Petrofac, the Shoe is Dropping this is free money!

 

CHLL

Chill Brands CEO suspended on insider dealing allegation but is this all it seems?

 

CRTM

Why is Russell Fryer not being fired as CEO of Critical Metals PLC?

 

CHLL

Chill Brands (#CHLL) – CEO Callum Sommerton suspended, allegations “around the use of inside information”

 

TYMN

Tyman (#TYMN) – recommended cash and share offer from Quanex

 

SONG

Hipgnosis Songs Fund (#SONG) – improved takeover proposal from Blackstone which “would be minded to recommend”, providing access to confirmatory due diligence

 

APH

Alliance Pharma (#APH) – “auditor, Deloitte LLP, has requested additional time to finalise”, 2023 results further delayed to “early May”

 

AFRN

Aferian (#AFRN) – “further deterioration in the trading of the Amino business”, “in advanced discussions with its lenders”

 

MIND

#MIND Gym – emphasises H2 improvement, though “continuing to see delays in decision making and scaling back of projects”

 

CER

Cerillion (#CER) – H1 update, “strong demand… remains well-placed to meet market expectations”

 

PAY

PayPoint (#PAY) – anticipates FY adj. pre-tax profit “in line with expectations”, share buyback programme “under active consideration”

 

ELIX

Elixirr International (#ELIX) – 2023 adj. EPS +22% to 37.2p, DPS +37% to 14.8p, “momentum has continued into FY24”

 

JTC

#JTC – proposed $21m acquisition of trust administration services business from JPMorgan Chase Bank

Sunday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: DCI Advisors - dirt cheap shares or a £42m big fat Greek zero?

 

Gold

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Presses $2,400 Again

 

BEN

Just how stupid are some shareholders in Ben’s Creek? Words fail me

 

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: Rich People Don’t Eat, Smuggling into North Korea, Making of Modi, Woke Radio

 

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #237

 

Professor

Visual Aid: Top Countries By Forest Growth Since 2001

 

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending 20 April

Saturday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: cat update and Neil Woodford what he says is wrong and he just has no moral platform

 

JLP

Jubilee Metals – Q3 chrome record but PGM and copper production lower, still a STRONG risk reward BUY

 

ASOS

A reader writes on the topic of debt and ASOS.

 

Clown

A failed fund manager writes about how well Britain is doing

 

ICON

BREAKING: Iconic – Toxic Dave Sefton strikes again

 

AO

With TV's, Washing Machines and Laptops Relishing a Probable Revival, Take a Gander at this Growing Online Telly Seller.

 

Boom

Mark Menzies: The Tory MP who “disputes” the Grindr blackmail misuse of funds reports – its like dealing with stockmarket villains, Tom Winnifrith

 

Beggar

The cat and I both visit the doctors, it is my bank balance left writhing in agony - Tom Winnifrith

Friday »

CEY

Centamin – Q1 production lower, but a now production and sector recovery Buy

 

XSG

Xeros Technology – “pleased to announce” retail offer closing result, fooling itself or trying to fool everyone else?

 

TEP

Telecom Plus – an income and capital growth recovery Buy?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: after Cheryl, I add Miss Israel, India and Iceland to the list

 

NEXS

Nexus Infrastructure – argues half-year “good progress”, but how good really?…

 

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: I win at Sam Antar's game of fraudster

 

BRK

Brooks Macdonald – wealth management sector value?

 

CHLL

Alan Green and the Chill Brands loons on twitter, they just don’t get it!

 

BPM

B.P. Marsh & Partners – further upside from a winning share tip

 

NGHT

Video Exclusive: Sarah Willingham of Nightcap goes bonkers & accuses "obsessive" Tom Winnifrith of spreading fake news

 

Greek Tear

Photo Article: The pool opens at luxury and isolated Greek villa May 1 - now just eight weeks unbooked until November, Tom Winnifrith

 

SLWD

Silverwood Brands (#SLWD) – delayed restoration of trading as awaits Capital Reduction Court order to be registered by the Registrar of Companies

 

NCYT

Novacyt (#NCYT) – DHSC Pre-Trial Review listed to be heard on 30th April, with also a DHSC application for summary judgment

 

JAY

Bluejay Mining (#JAY) – intends to expand to include helium, industrial gases and hydrocarbons, attempted ramptastic

 

PRE

Pensana (#PRE) – FSDEA loan facility extension discussions to tie-in with the anticipated finalisation of main financing

 

SDX

#SDX Energy – agreement for sale of West Gharib asset for estimated $6.6m

 

QED

Quadrise (#QED) – Valkor project initial oil well expected to commence drilling next week

 

CPH2

Clean Power Hydrogen (#CPH2) – 2023 £4.1m loss, cash down to £8.5m

 

NEXS

Nexus Infrastructure (#NEXS) – H1 update, notes increased order book but “challenging market conditions persist”

 

EMG

Man Group (#EMG) – Q1 net flows -$1.6bn, but AUM up to $175.7bn

 

888

#888 Holdings – Q1 revenue -3% YoY, though emphasises “continuation of positive sequential quarter-on-quarter trends”

Thursday »

PODP

Pod Point – “pleased to announce… ahead of guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA”. Er, what about the initial guidance though?!

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Has Leon at Jubilee slipped up one time too many?

 

THS

Tharisa – Q2 update, still a recovery Buy

 

IMB

Imperial Brands – half-year trading update, a value Buy?...

 

Gold

Video: Will the Dollar or Bond Market Be Sacrificed First in the Next Crisis?

 

HOME

Home REIT – surely it is having its cake and eating it as lawyers letters fly

 

CYAN

CyanConnode – appointment of a joint broker “with immediate effect”. Why might that be?

 

PPP

Horse Hill – time for Pennpetro and UK Oil & Gas to ‘fess, the farm in is not going to happen!

 

ZED

Zenova – broker and auditor changes, yet more red flags!

 

CHLL

Swanny wants boardroom change – EGM called for Chill Brands

 

Christopher_Booker

Another day and another Tory MP in a sex and corruption scandal – I think again of Christopher Booker of Private Eye and 1963, Tom Winnifrith

 

HOME

#HOME REIT – issued and received pre-action letters of claim, “intends vigorously to defend”

 

SONG

Hipgnosis Songs Fund (#SONG) – $1.16 per share recommended offer from Concord Chorus

 

AJB

AJ Bell (#AJB) – notes Q2 growth, platform market opportunity “remains significant”

 

CARR

Carr's (#CARR) – H1 adj. EPS -4% to 4.8p, DPS up to 2.35p, process to “maximise shareholder value” from Engineering division

 

VLX

Volex (#VLX) – expects FY adj. Op profit “slightly ahead of analyst expectations”

 

EZJ

easyJet (#EZJ) – expects H1 reduced adj. loss to £340m-£360m, demand “continues to build well for summer”

 

DNLM

Dunelm (#DNLM) – Q3 sales +3% YoY “driven by volume”, expects FY “broadly in line with market expectations”

 

RNK

Rank (#RNK) – Q3 LFL net gaming revenue +6% YoY, expects FY in line with expectations

 

FOXT

Foxtons (#FOXT) – Q1 revenue +9% YoY, “trading in line with management's expectations”

 

ROO

Deliveroo (#ROO) – Q1 gross transaction value +5% YoY, FY guidance maintained

Wednesday »

Tom

It’s time to book your seats at Sharestock 2024 on September 7, now 50% sold out

 

TST

Touchstar – 2023 results, “another period of improved financial performance” so why the share price fall in response?...

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: I just don't see the attraction of ASOS

 

SPEC

Inspecs – 2023 results state “continuing to perform well”. Er, what about the end of year profit warning?!

 

TERN

EXPOSE: Wyld – why is Tern exercising fewer T04 warrants than Jonathan Swann when it claims it has a much larger shareholding?

 

GoldfishShark

Video: There is no bubble in gold

 

GCM

I'd be amazed if the GCM Resources Phulbari project ever gets sanctioned given the impact on the environment and local people - avoid

 

SCE

Surface Transforms – “2024 Sales Outlook” down from just last week! And what about the balance sheet position that dare not speak its name again?

 

ONT

Oxford Nanopore from £3.7 billion at IPO to £846 million, I'm massively vindicated but is it still a short?

 

SYME

The Supply@ME Capital and Regtech frauds see shares plunge to new lows, with endgame imminent does the Fat Lady speak Italian?

 

MMAG

Non-disclosure: it’s what they are not saying but does anyone give a FF about the rules anymore?

 

Gagged

The Cass Report – on the transgender walk of shame must be Bath Spa University: TomWinnifrith

 

Gagged

Oxford University's Diversity Boss does not believe in free speech for those who engage in WrongThink - Tom Winnifrith

 

SCIR

Scirocco Energy (#SCIR) – proposed AIM cancellation following rebel General Meeting succeeding

 

EQLS

Equals (#EQLS) – Takeover Panel further extension to 5pm 15th May, with discussions and due diligence “ongoing”

 

LIO

Liontrust Asset Management (#LIO) – FY AuMA £27.8bn, Q4 net outflows £1.2bn

 

HTG

Hunting (#HTG) – “positive start to the year… marginally ahead of management's expectations”

 

SFR

Severfield (#SFR) – expects FY “slightly ahead of expectations”, “seeing an improvement in market conditions”

 

DLAR

De La Rue (#DLAR) – expects FY adj. Op profit “in line with guidance previously given, in the low £20m range”, intends ‘optimising intrinsic value’ update by end-May

 

SAGA

#SAGA – FY emphasises increased adj. profit but still statutory loss, net debt £637.2m

 

ASC

ASOS (#ASC) – H1 increased loss on sales -18% YoY, though argues restructuring “progress” including appointment of new CFO Dave Murray

 

WINK

M Winkworth (#WINK) – 2023 EPS -15% to 13p, DPS +6% to 11.7p, argues “excited by the outlook for the current year”

 

JET

Just Eat Takeaway.com (#JET) – Q1 gross transaction value -2% YoY, states reiterates full-year guidance

Tuesday »

PFC

Fitch downgrades Petrofac to 'CC'; Removes RWN: this is damning

 

BOWL

Hollywood Bowl – argues ‘strong growth’, but how “strong” really?…

 

SOS

Sosandar – Full Year Trading Update Misses Targets

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: The shocking sense of of entitlement of this prat from Wales

 

MRK

Marks Electrical – “a fast-growing online electrical retailer”… growing much more slowly now?…

 

SDRY

Superdry – more ouzo for the bears but time to close your short ahead of Julian Dunkerton "rescue" and delisting

 

SEED

A confused shareholder in SEED Innovations writes…

 

DOCS

Dr. Martens – trading warning & CEO Kenny Wilson has so much outlook “confidence”… that he’s decided to leave!

 

UKOG

UK Oil & Gas – Think the unthinkable, might its bailout placing fail?

 

Bitcoin

Buy to the sound of gunfire and sell to the sound of trumpets (I've gone long bitcoin)

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Ben's Creek Post Mortem, name the names of shame, learn the lessons

 

CTO

TClarke (#CTO) – recommended 160p per share offer from Regent Group

 

SMDS

DS Smith (#SMDS) – recommended 0.1285 International Paper Company shares per share offer

 

MORE

Hostmore (#MORE) – proposed all-share reverse takeover of its franchisor TGI Fridays, Inc.

 

SDRY

Superdry (#SDRY) – proposed “restructuring plan”, equity raise and shares delisting

 

DOCS

Dr. Martens (#DOCS) – FY update and current “outlook is challenging”

 

SOS

Sosandar (#SOS) – FY expects £0.2m loss, argues “several shops identified in top tier locations”

 

BOWL

Hollywood #BOWL – H1 notes revenue growth and “confident about the outlook for the business in FY”

 

RWA

Robert Walters (#RWA) – Q1 constant currency net fees -16% YoY, “client and candidate confidence is at low levels”

 

HAS

Hays (#HAS) – Q3 LFL net fees -14% YoY, “market conditions remained challenging through the quarter”

 

BME

B&M (#BME) – FY “volume growth led delivery at the top end of guidance”

Monday »

BEN

BREAKING: Ben’s Creek US operations file for Chapter 11, shares a zero!

 

PAGE

PageGroup – argues “resilient performance”, but are the declines really “resilient”?…

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: The next shoe to drop is Petrofac

 

TM1

Technology Minerals: shares fall another 10%, two explanations offered

 

EGT

Podcast: Cathal Friel and Aiden Lavelle of European Green Transition interviewed

 

EXR

Engage XR – “pleased to announce” 2023 results. Should it be?…

 

WCAT

Wildcat Petroleum…oops a daisy, when will the FCA end this farce?

 

EISB

East Imperial – hopefully my refinancing warnings were heeded as now... “the company has ceased trading”!

 

SYME

BREAKING EXPOSE: Alessandro Zamboni and Nuburu, the plot thickens

 

HZM

Horizonte Minerals: Told y’all, call the Fat Lady!

 

HZM

Horizonte Minerals (#HZM) – “unable to secure interest in the full financing needed”, as warned here shareholders wipeout ahoy

 

WCAT

Wildcat Petroleum (#WCAT) – now unable currently to sign any sort of contract in Sudan, argues to “now concentrate on South Sudan”

 

IES

Invinity Energy Systems (#IES) – states expects to finalise ‘strategic investment agreements’ “in the coming weeks”

 

CWR

Ceres Power (#CWR) – 2023 cash outflow £42.4m after revenue of £22.3m, “cash and short-term investments” £140m

 

BOOM

Audioboom (#BOOM) – argues improvement from 2023 results, but Q1 even adj. EBITDA profit just $0.1m

 

BOOM

Audioboom (#BOOM) – 2023 swing to even an adj. EBITDA loss, cash down to $3.7m

 

RNO

Renold (#RNO) – now expects FY results “materially ahead of current market expectations”

 

PAGE

PageGroup (#PAGE) – Q1 gross profit -16.4% YoY, -12.8% in constant currency

 

INCH

Inchcape (#INCH) – agreement to sell UK retail business for approx. £346m to Group 1 Automotive

 

SYNT

Synthomer (#SYNT) – agreement for sale of its Compounds business for c.€27.5m

Sunday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: what now for oil as Iran and Israel go head to head and why Neil Woodford is THE guilty man

 

Gold

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As “Mr Slammy” Hits Gold Before Iran Strikes Israel

 

Professor

Visual Aid: The World’s Top Flight Routes, by Revenue

 

KEFI

Okay here is that 'arry Adams of Kefi video

 

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #236

 

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: Bringing Football to Sheffield, Art Fraud, Boeing, Self-Help, Biggest Cruise Ship Ever

 

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending 13 April

Saturday »

Bear

Lucian at 93% of target fundraise on his 63 mile walk for a great cause

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Wrexham up and my new least favourite football team, the gender pay gap, gold and bitcoin

 

Bear

Thoughts on Short Selling in the Post-Covid World and some safe targets

 

DCTA

Directa Plus – “GiPave installed at Imola Circuit”, RNS Reach attempted ramptastic?

 

ANP

Anpario – a recovery Buy?...

 

VIC

Why a Share Rise Could Be in the Pipeline for this Plumbing King.

Friday »

LIFS

LifeSafe Holdings – “pleased to announce” appointment of new Nominated Adviser and broker. I wonder why!…

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Petrofac is free money for the bears and does anyone advising Tern have any conscience?

 

PFC

Petrofac statement – it almost admits how screwed it is

 

TERN

Tern – After the preposterous and cynical pump……as things get Wyld

 

BEN

GOTCHA! Ben’s Creek ‘fesses up that it's firing nearly all its workers! Does advisor Allenby give a FF about market rules

 

ORCP

Oracle Power, David Lenigas and Mining Equities Pty Ltd: it’s a small world innit?

 

REAT

REACT Group – contract wins including “three material contracts”, a trading momentum continuing Buy

 

CHLL

Photo Article: the proof that Chill Brands MUST be sitting on bad news about WH Smith

 

IOM

iomart – “results which demonstrate the resilience of the group”. Er, do they?…

 

Crime-Scene

Buy 2 Let Cars Limited – the long slow hand of the law.

 

ARCM

Photo Article: a 2 metre reason NOT to go see my pal Vassilios Carellas on the ground with Arc Minerals in Zambia

 

BEN

Bens Creek (#BEN) – GOTCHA! as admits “laid off 44 employees”, mine care and maintenance and in “additional financial support” discussions

 

TERN

#TERN – placing raising just £0.42m at 2.4p per share, a more than 30% discount

 

TEAM

#TEAM – raises £1.25m at 20p per share as WRAP retail offer adds £0.14m

 

VLRM

Valereum (#VLRM) – “appointed Stanford Capital Partners Limited to act as the company's sole corporate broker with immediate effect”, hmmm!

 

LIFS

LifeSafe Holdings (#LIFS) – “appointment of Zeus Capital Limited as Nominated Adviser and Sole Broker with immediate effect”, hmmm!

 

ROAD

Roadside Real Estate (#ROAD) – “resource constraints at its auditors”, now expects to publish delayed results by 30th April

 

PFC

Petrofac (#PFC) – “continues to face challenges in securing new performance guarantees”, discussions including for “a significant proportion of the debt being exchanged for equity”

 

PMI

Premier Miton (#PMI) – Q2 AuM up to £10.712bn but still £268m of net outflows

 

HUD

Huddled (#HUD) – acquisition of online retailer Food Circle Supermarket for £0.2m in cash and shares and up to a total £0.3m

 

SRC

SigmaRoc (#SRC) – Q1 “underlying EBITDA in line with management's expectations”, integration of initial lime acquisitions “continuing well”

Thursday »

Cat_Fixing_Lightbulb

Bearcast issue update: all should be well

 

Boom

BREAKING: FCA slams Neil Wooodford – worse to come for the disgraced fund manager we exposed

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: whataboutery

 

Bulletin Board moron seagreen where are you now? A posting that did not age well

 

DIS

Distil – after in January “confident that we can continue to build on this growth in Q4”, now announces a Q4 sales slump!

 

GAH

Blast from the past – Gable sues William Dewsall over alleged £20 million fraud

 

AFM

Alpha Financial Markets Consulting – expecting lower net fee income growth than stated just in February, but states “continues to expect”!

 

TIR

Tiger Royalties – another quarter of pointless failure & meaningless data: premium to (undeclared) NAV is insane

 

BSFA

BSF Enterprises – Frankenstein Leather, “No Current Plans For A Fundraise”.....Yeah, RIght, the annual report was a lie then?

 

RRR

Ding Dong: for whom the discounted placing Bell tolls yet again

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: thoughts on the £12.5m bailout of Revolution Bars at just 1p

 

BEN

BREAKING: Has Ben's Creek sacked all bar 5 of its staff? Statement needed asap

 

Boom

The global warming nutters just make it up as they go along, Flooding in St Malo - Tom Winnifrith

 

LOK

Lok'nStore (#LOK) – recommended 1110p per share offer from Shurgard, the largest self-storage facilities business in Europe

 

RRR

Red Rock Resources (#RRR) – another placing, £0.26m at 0.051p per share it states is including for developing gold assets in Burkina Faso

 

NCYT

Novacyt (#NCYT) – Lyn Rees appointed CEO, 2023 results delay “due to the time required to integrate the accounts of Yourgene Health”

 

DIS

Distil (#DIS) – Q4 trading slump, notes spirits market “challenging” outlook

 

NXR

Norcros (#NXR) – notes FY revenue decline “in a challenging demand environment”

 

IOM

Iomart (#IOM) – FY update, notes growth held back by H2 lower than expected customer renewal rates

 

DARK

Darktrace (#DARK) – Q3 update, nudges up FY guidance

 

AFM

Alpha Financial Markets Consulting (#AFM) – after February trading warning, “trading has improved through the rest of Q4, as expected”

 

POLR

Polar Capital (#POLR) – FY AuM up to £21.892bn, quarterly swing to net inflows

 

DOM

Domino's Pizza (#DOM) – completes acquisition of remaining, 85%, shareholding in its largest franchise business in Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland

Wednesday »

CHH

Churchill China – 2023 results, is it now “generating sustainable, growing returns for investors”?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: IQE is still a quarter of a billion sell

 

XPP

XP Power – “trading in line with expectations”, but how much of an ‘achievement’ is that?…

 

FUM

Futura Medical: unlike real customers, Lucian Miers gets a stiffy on the hidden warning

 

ETX

BREAKING: Another £70m AIM disaster as ETX announces plans to delist as it completes £28.9 million fund raise

 

SDY

Speedy Hire – “towards the lower end of the board's expectations”. Er, just how ‘low’ was that ‘lower end’ then?...

 

Clown_Funeral

Is your stockbroker a disabled transgender person of colour? It is awards time!

 

CTL

Cleantech Lithium – Roland “Fatty” Cornish actively signs off on deception as CEO hides dumping of his entire stake

 

TSCO

UPDATED: Has Tesco caved to the Jew haters – I ask the question & it appears not

 

PANR

Pete Brailey says short the £400m Pantheon ramp

 

IQE

#IQE – 2023 increased adj. loss, still net debt

 

DLG

Direct Line Insurance (#DLG) – appointment of current CFO of UK and Ireland General Insurance business of Aviva (#AV.), Jane Poole, as CFO

 

THG

#THG – 2023 still a loss, argues “now delivering operating leverage”

 

TSCO

Tesco (#TSCO) – FY adj. EPS +14% to 23.41p, DPS +11% to 12.10p, argues “strong momentum”

 

TET

Treatt (#TET) – H1 improving performance, notes H2 “solid sales order book and healthy sales pipeline”

 

SAA

M&C Saatchi (#SAA) – 2023 adj. EPS +3% to 15.2p, DPS +6% to 1.6p, “encouraging Q1 momentum”

 

CHH

Churchill China (#CHH) – 2023 adj. EPS +5% to 70.2p, DPS +14% to 36p, softer demand continuing in H1 2024

 

SDY

Speedy Hire (#SDY) – FY revenue -c.5%, expects results “towards the lower end of the board's expectations”

 

EPWN

Epwin (#EPWN) – 2023 adj. EPS +8% to 9.71p, DPS +8% to 4.80p, “expect to make further progress in 2024”

 

XPP

XP Power (#XPP) – states Q1 “in line with expectations”… but that’s constant currency order intake -27% YoY and revenue -15%

Tuesday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Should I care if Shell goes to America?

 

GHT

Gresham Technologies – how “pleased” to be with recommended offer?

 

TAST

Tasty plc – requires “restructuring plan” including lease exits and creditor write-offs approvals, or it’s cash crunch ahoy!

 

ORCP

Oracle Power: Cynical Foul

 

Clown

Explaining free speech with a cartoon for the 10th time for defamatory fantastist and liar Magna Carta

 

TERN

Tern: this is just a spoof, Talking Medicines “trading statement”

 

SCE

Surface Transforms – after another discounted equity fundraise as recently as November, surely it’s not liquidity crunch ahoy again?…

 

OBC

Reader: You are being far too soft on Clem Chambers. I plead guilty, this is SHOCKING!

 

CRTA

Cirata – where the hell is the cash going?

 

TERN

Tern – Wyld T04 warrant fund raising & a looming margin call

 

OBC

Clem Chambers trough-fest Online Blockchain Annual Report finally surfaces and it’s a hoot

 

Pinocchio

Tom Winnifrith: Amnesty International eulogises the face of true evil, Walid Daqqa

 

GHT

Gresham Technologies (#GHT) – recommended 163p per share offer

 

SBDS

Silver Bullet Data Services (#SBDS) – CFO Darren Poynton “stepping down”, Chris Ellis to join as CFO

 

HEX

Helix Exploration (#HEX) – helium exploration company lists on AIM, raising a gross £7.5m at 10p per share

 

PROC

ProCook (#PROC) – Q4 update, expects FY adj. PBT “marginally ahead” of expectations though at £0.5m-£1m

 

W7L

Warpaint London (#W7L) – Q1 growth means now expects FY ahead of current expectations

 

ULTP

Ultimate Products (#ULTP) – H1 adj. EPS -3% to 8.3p, DPS +1% to 2.45p, “now seeing the gradual resumption of normal ordering patterns”

 

IPX

Impax Asset Management (#IPX) – Q2 AUM up to £39.6bn, but net outflows of £1.7bn

 

RNWH

Renew (#RNWH) – acquisition of UK highways engineering business Route One for £5m Enterprise Value

 

AV

Aviva (#AV.) – completes acquisition of AIG's UK protection business for £453m

 

HSBA

HSBC (#HSBA) – agreement to sell business in Argentina for $550m subject to certain adjustments

Monday »

CBOX

Cake Box – “Full Year Trading Update”, why the profit and its comparatives that dare not speak their names?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the price of a loaf of bread was 26p in 1980 & I bet teachers were lazy then too

 

TGP

Tekmar – “Contract Awards”, but announcement RNS Reach attempted ramptastic?

 

GoldfishShark

Video: From a Cyclical Low to a Super Bull – Why This Could be Gold’s Decade

 

CGO

Contango – from no plans to raise to a raise in just four months

 

EDEN

Eden – how long will its cash last? Time for a Jo Hart mea culpa?

 

WPHO

Windar Photonics – what’s the “proposed placing” really mainly for?…

 

IES

Oi Monkey, Invinity statement needed, your six weeks are up

 

BEN

Ben’s Creek: the Fat Lady is now gargling

 

KEFI

WOW and Kefi you really are a twit

 

Tom

It was 11 years ago today that Britain's Greatest Leader passed away - a video tribute to Lady Thatcher, Tom Winnifrith

 

Atomic

Peter Tatchell lives in an Orwellian post truth world when it comes to Russia and the Zaporizhzia nuclear power plant, Tom Winnifrith

 

CVSG

CVS Group (#CVSG) – “cyber incident”, being investigated and “likely to have an impact on operations for a number of weeks”

 

BEN

Bens Creek (#BEN) – notes a coal purchase order, but also that it is currently loss-making and is assessing “options available”

 

EGT

European Green Transition (#EGT) – company developing “green economy assets” in Europe joins AIM, raising a gross £6.46m at 10p per share

 

CGO

Contango (#CGO) – £0.94m placing at 1p per share

 

EML

Emmerson (#EML) – $2.175m equity raise at 1.75p per share with warrants and a REX retail offer

 

WPHO

Windar Photonics (#WPHO) – proposed up to £4m placing at 35p per share, stated to be including after recent contract wins

 

CAV

Cavendish Financial (#CAV) – appointment of Spark Advisory as Nominated Adviser, replacing Grant Thornton

 

CBOX

Cake Box (#CBOX) – expects FY revenue c.+9%, though also with 20 new stores taking estate to 225

 

BGO

Bango (#BGO) – 2023 another loss, argues “strong” Q1 2024 but emphasising revenue

 

IGP

Intercede (#IGP) – expects FY improved profitability from higher revenue and operational gearing

Sunday »

Black-Swan

Gender diversity boosts financial performance: the GroupThink lie that hurts us all.

 

Bearcast

Tom Winifrith Bearcast: Malcolm is 'avin' a Turkish if he thinks Lloyds is worth a quid

 

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: Farming Carauba, Woke Meltdown, Killer Culverts, Fighting the Metric System, Guinness World Records

 

Professor

Visual Aid: Top Emerging Markets for Investment in 2024

 

GPM

Gold Stocks – My Take On Why They’ve Still Got A Long Way To Go

 

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #235 - a special 11

 

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending 6 April

 

Boom

The Doom Goblin's Global Warming myth, data from Iceland, Dublin and Sweden the GroupThink cannot explain: Tom Winnifrith

Saturday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: why are gold stocks we all own not even higher? Setting targets for a few I do own

 

ATYM

Atalaya Mining - £4 Short-Term Tip Target Achieved: What To Do Now?

 

Cat_Fixing_Lightbulb

A new alternative Bearcast link for those having problems

 

BELL

Belluscura – do I want to bet against Mr. Magic?

 

BAR

Brand Architekts – interims, a significant discount to net assets Buy

 

Gold

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin: “The (Gold) Bull Market Is Here, People – It’s Time To Make Money”

 

AMRQ

Amaroq Minerals – first underground mining blast at Nalunaq, with further upcoming catalysts. Value BUY, More than 50% upside

 

LLOY

Looking Hard at Probably the most Traded Share in Blighty - and Asking Why?

Friday »

RUA

RUA Life Sciences – “Business Update” emphasise its “resilience and adeptness”, but is it just more ‘jam tomorrow’?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Happy Birthday Dad, he would have been 86 were he not in a better place

 

XSG

Xeros Technology – another of Neil Woodford’s disastrous ‘revolutionising’ picks… so “Fundraising” (materially discounted, natch)

 

Bear

Video: The Economy is in Shambles, But Metals Are Still Heading Higher, silver to $100?

 

SDRY

Superdry shares suspension – it’s surely when not if?

 

RRR

GOTCHAL: Red Rock Resource and a partial ’fess, Lenigas ramps again

 

ARB

Argo Blockchain: Updates but as ever it is what it does not say that is the red flag

 

SYME

The FRAUD Supply@Me Capital: a weak and incomplete update fails to convince

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: A tale of 2 non placings, discrediting management at Roquefort and Skinbiotherapeutics

 

Crime-Scene

Here we go again: is is market abuse or insider dealing at Roquefort? Will the FCA do anything?

 

Christopher_Booker

William Wragg, Grindr, The Honey Trap and the latest Tory sex scandal – I am so reminded of a Private Eye cartoon from 1963, Tom Winnifrith

 

Trump

Tom Winnifrith podcast: is the Trump Biden election now too close to call?

 

Clown

Video: LoveHamas ( I don't but its a good spoof) - Tom Winnifrith

 

ARB

Argo Blockchain (#ARB) – March “operational update”, emphasises increased “mining revenue” but no bottom-line details (natch!)

 

SYME

Supply@ME Capital (#SYME) – attempted ramptastic “Business update”

 

WCAT

Wildcat Petroleum (#WCAT) – “Quarterly newsletter”, RNS Reach noting delays and ‘jam tomorrow’

 

RRR

Red Rock Resources (#RRR) – “DRC and Gold Assets Update”, but only a “non-regulatory” RNS Reach

 

SBTX

SkinBioTherapeutics (#SBTX) – further shares issuance, and at just 6.592863p, as a result of terribly-structured Dermatonics acquisition

 

ROQ

Roquefort Therapeutics (#ROQ) – admits potential fundraise “market soundings”, but reckons “has decided to not proceed with any potential placing at this time”

 

APH

Alliance Pharma (#APH) – 2023 results delay due to auditor determining higher volume of work required than it originally expected

 

WIN

Wincanton (#WIN) – CMA CGM offer lapses after the higher competing offer from GXO

 

PINE

Pinewood Technologies (#PINE) – GM circular for 24.5p per share special dividend and a shares consolidation

 

ROO

Deliveroo (#ROO) – ‘B’ shares conversion, to have just one class of shares in issue

Thursday »

WG

Wood Group – 2023 results, remains a recovery Buy

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: meeting Olaf's b/f, smelly cheese PLC and an admission I was wrong

 

MOTR

Motorpoint – emphasises recent trading improvement and outlook optimism, but how much is already priced-in?…

 

SYME

If Zamboni’s Avantgarde has not sold any shares in Supply@ME Capital I am a Dutchman

 

GELN

Gelion – emphasises “key technology proof point” milestone achieved. Er, what about that update on “solvency/viability and long-term future”?

 

CRTA

Cirata ( Wandisco as was) from $30m fund raise to material uncertainty and a warning in just nine months!

 

INSG

Insig AI – “equity funding facility” agreement, though forget it enabling meaningful “investment into sales and marketing”?

 

GENF

The curse of Swanny strikes again, bucket shop placing at Genflow, the company created by a penny share fraudster

 

SBTX

Skinbiotherapeutics – time to address the placing rumour

 

Father Christmas

An end-Q1 tips of the year update

 

Madness

Another old friend lost? I am a “fascist” for not slating the Jews: Tom Winnifrith

 

SMDS

DS Smith (#SMDS) – “continuing discussions with Mondi”, Takeovers Panel extension to 5pm 23rd April

 

GENF

Genflow Biosciences (#GENF) – £0.715m placing at 1.25p per share, with warrants

 

SYME

Supply@ME Capital (#SYME) – insists Alessandro Zamboni not selling shares

 

LORD

Lords Group Trading (#LORD) – appointment of Stuart Kilpatrick as CFO to succeed leaving “to take up another professional opportunity” Chris Day

 

CAV

Cavendish Financial (#CAV) – “trading update” notes revenue growth but no other P&L detail, cash up to £20.8m

 

MOTR

Motorpoint (#MOTR) – Q4 retail volume +c.9% YoY and continued margin recovery, though still a full-year loss

 

FUTR

Future (#FUTR) – “return to organic revenue growth in Q2”, currently “on-track to deliver on expectations for FY”

 

GHH

Gooch & Housego (#GHH) – H1 impacted by some destocking, argues expects trading to be more heavily weighted towards H2

 

GETB

GetBusy (#GETB) – acquisition of accounting “pricing intelligence and revenue optimisation” platform SmartPath for initial $0.25m and contingent consideration up to $2m

 

EAH

Eco Animal Health (#EAH) – disposal of “non-core” branded treatment for equine parasites for a total €1.3 million

Wednesday »

CLX

Calnex Solutions – “broadly in line with” (i.e. a bit behind) expectations… which it dare not mention were already massively reduced!

 

Gold

Video: Will Gold & Silver Prices Soar in a 2008-Style Economic Collapse?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Any company even suspected of round tripping is just not investable

 

TPT

Topps Tiles – “First Half Trading Update” is a profit warning that dare not speak its name…

 

TRAK

Trakm8 Holdings: The Pig, The Pork and the debt at credit card rates

 

Gold

Who Is Behind The Gold Buying ?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Fundamental analysis just does not matter any more and it is wrong to short Trump Media as a result. Discuss

 

SWG

Shearwater – “FY24 Trading Update” is a material lack-of-profit warning after the year-end!

 

RRR

Letter to Roland “Fatty” Cornish: how can you allow this social media outrage and AIM Rule Breaking at Red Rock?

 

AVO

DISGRACE: Advanced Oncotherapy – Beyond A Joke As AIM Continues To Break Its Own Rules

 

Cat_Fixing_Lightbulb

The Bearcast feed is acting up, sorry about that

 

ALPH

Alpha Group International (#ALPH) – intends to move to Main Market from AIM

 

TRAK

Trakm8 (#TRAK) – ramptastic update, though also including issue of £0.99m of 18% interest convertible loan notes!

 

PEEL

#PEEL Hunt – FY revenue c.+4% and a loss, notes UK economic and fund flows challenges

 

WIZZ

#WIZZ Air – March booked passengers +12% YoY, load factor -1.3ppts to 90.8%

 

SWG

Shearwater (#SWG) – larger contracts agreement delays warning, argues during this year “confidence in returning to growth”

 

CLX

Calnex Solutions (#CLX) – expects FY “broadly in line” (i.e. slightly behind) expectations, argues expects to return to growth this year

 

TPT

Topps Tiles (#TPT) – H1 sales -5.9% YoY, particularly notes subdued domestic RMI demand especially for bigger ticket projects

 

HFG

Hilton Food (#HFG) – 2023 adj. EPS up to 52.8p, DPS to 32p, argues “well placed… although markets remain challenging”

 

ABDP

AB Dynamics (#ABDP) – acquisition of Venshure Test Services for initial $15m and further contingent up to $15m

 

SXS

Spectris (#SXS) – completes sale of Red Lion Controls business for estimated net proceeds of c.$275m

Tuesday »

RRR

Shameless David Lenigas: his second most ramptastic tweet in history

 

ZED

Zenova – director “pivotal” in its products development leaves “with immediate effect”. Uh oh!…

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: this RedX news is a total disaster for the AIM Casino, preparing to meet Olaf's b/f after a year

 

UKOG

UK Oil & Gas annual report – the warning is explicit!

 

ITX

Itaconix – “unable to reach satisfactory commercial terms with one of its major existing merchandizing customers”. Uh oh!…

 

Bear

A checklist of share price doom from Evil Banksta as he prepares for a luxury break

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bonus Bearcast: Why Steve and I cannot give investment advice on Bluebird Merchant today, a clear own goal

 

SND

Sondrel – argues requires “transformation” away from AIM listing… having listed less than 18 months ago!

 

Trump

Donald J. Trump offers a slam dunk short but also a long: here is the pair trade

 

BELL

Belluscura: wrong, wrong, wrong – not 1 but 2 lack of profits warnings!

 

ZOO

A reader says I am wrong to be bearish on two shares

 

RBG

Revolution Bars (#RBG) – “unable to publish” results shares suspension, desperate fundraising discussions

 

REDX

#REDX Pharma – proposed AIM listing cancellation

 

HZM

Horizonte Minerals (#HZM) – senior lenders waivers to end-April, working on “a restructuring plan” requiring creditors approval

 

BMV

Bluebird Merchant Ventures (#BMV) – Gubong project “partial farm out” agreement discussions, Kochang project audit and inspection process review “still being processed”

 

UKOG

UK Oil & Gas (#UKOG) – FY £4m loss on revenue down to £1.5m and swing to net debt

 

FDEV

Frontier Developments (#FDEV) – sales “in-line with expectations”, disposal of Rollercoaster Tycoon for $4m and $3m deferred consideration

 

GMR

Gaming Realms (#GMR) – 2023 EPS up to 2p, “promising start to 2024”

 

TMG

Mission Group (#TMG) – 2023 swing to loss and increased net debt, argues current year “trading has started well”

 

RNWH

Renew (#RNWH) – “continues to experience strong demand… across all key markets”, Rail sector director change

 

HSBA

HSBC (#HSBA) – completes sale of Canada business to RBC, intends special dividend per share of $0.21

Monday »

Tom

If you send me emails or private messages insulting & defaming me why do you expect a response?

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: An in depth deep dive into AI spoof CEL.AI ( Cellular Goods as was)

 

Price-Vs-Value

ShareProphets readers tips for 2024 prize competition – end-March update

 

NGHT

Nightcap – will tube strikes be the straw that breaks the camels back, insolvency in Q2 suggests an insider

 

CAV

Exclusive: Cavendish Financial to list £50m LGBTQA+ investment company on AIM

 

Free-Speech-Pizza

Getting a barrage of hate for stating a fact, meet the #NAFO loons - Tom Winnifrith

Sunday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Calm down Nigel old boy, If $4000 does happen we are all fecked

 

Gold

The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Powers Further Ahead

 

JMAT

Johnson Matthey continues to streamline its business and looks set for growth going forwards - buy

 

Quiz

The ShareProphets Sunday Pub Quiz #234

 

Professor

Visual Aid: Luxury Goods Investments vs. S&P 500 in the Last 10 Years

 

Professor

Sunday Long Reads: Lululemon vs Muscular Dystrophy, Putin’s Prisoners, Sadiq Khan Conspiracy, 1719 London Letters

 

Top-10

Notes from Underground – Most read articles for the week ending 30 March

 

Tom

Tom Winnifrith podcast: Russia, Ukraine and USA and a flashback to Syria and how we were lied to then

Saturday »

AVCT

On the fence pro tem but I am sure Avacta shares will collapse at some point

 

JLP

Jubilee Metals – expansion projects progress, BUY

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the bitcoin bubble or not as we are told to celebrate not Easter but transgender awareness day tomorrow

 

Malcolm-On-Motorcycle

Professor Malcolm Stacey's Never-to-be Missed World Renowned and Widely Acclaimed Easter Lecture.

 

Beggar

A Readers wife asks for your support this Easter

Friday »

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Companies I am reporting to the FRC this weekend

 

VRS

EXPOSE: Versarien dire year end numbers and a slam dunk case for the FRC

 

RTOP

DETAILED EXPOSE of RegTech Open Project – Piss poor interims are materially non-compliant with IFRS

Thursday »

HZM

Horizonte – the game is now up, sell while you can, this is a 0p stock

 

BPM

B.P. Marsh & Partners – a new investment, a sale and a dividend declaration

 

SDRY

Superdry after hours ‘fess up – this looks like a zero, its the most obvious short in town on Tuesday morning

 

PEB

Pebble Beach Systems – 2023 results “an outstanding outcome”, Buy

 

OPTI

Steve O'Hara emails – Has Boots given us the boot? As another ADVFN knob tells lies

 

Tom

Tom Winnifrith Video Shareshow No 35: bear raider Lucian Miers and Steve O'Hara of Optibiotix

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Amigo pulls the Jesus Easter trick but 2 others don't recover from AIM Crucifixion

 

AO

AO World – emphasises delivering on pivot of “focus to profit and cash generation”, but sufficiently for the valuation?…

 

TERN

Weak results at Wyld Networks, a double whammy for Tern on the way

 

Video: Navigating the Future of Gold Prices at $2750

 

SAG

Science Group – a further focus on shareholder value Buy...

 

ICON

Iconic Labs interims and proposed RTO: more red flags vicar?

 

GPM

Golden Prospect Precious Metals – 2023 results, an again increasingly favourable gold environment Buy

 

SAR

GOTCHA: Sareum placing and retail offer at just 10p, for morons and financial masochists only

 

AMRQ

Amaroq Minerals – 2023 results, an upcoming production and exploration excitement BUY

 

SYME

The Supply@ME Capital FRAUD – 2 more developments that make no sense at all, go ask Alice

 

Warwick_School

How Different Warwick School is these days – but what on earth is the CPS doing with regard to paedophile ex-teachers? Tom Winnifrith

 

VRS

Versarien (#VRS) – FY ended 30th September 2023 even adj. loss of £5.5m and already then net debt!

 

ARB

Argo Blockchain (#ARB) – completes desperate sale of Quebec data center for $6.1m, noted debt $54m

 

MEN

Molecular Energies (#MEN) – ANOTHER proposed cancellation from AIM

 

BYOT

Byotrol (#BYOT) – year-end trading update and proposed cancellation from AIM

 

QUIZ

#QUIZ – challenging trading and “ongoing” ‘strategic review’, founder CEO Tarak Ramzan to move to NED role and be replaced by CCO Sheraz Ramzan

 

JD

JD Sports Fashion (#JD.) – FY LFL sales +4.2% though Q4 just +0.1%, “trading environment remains challenging”

 

AO

AO World (#AO.) – ‘positive’ trading expected to mean FY adj. PBT “at least at the top of the previously guided range of £28-£33m”

 

LTHM

James Latham (#LTHM) – FY sales volumes “very similar to the previous year”, anticipates PBT “in line with market expectations”

 

KITW

Kitwave (#KITW) – acquisition of North England food wholesaler Total Foodservice Solutions for a net c.£17m

 

888

#888 Holdings – exiting US B2C operations, including sale agreement for selected assets

Wednesday »

GELN

Gelion – interims argue “confident… well positioned to continue developing relevant energy storage solutions”. Is it though?…

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Kerboom, GOTCHA!

 

TM1

GOTCHA! Technology Minerals – why interims and year accounts need to be restated to consolidate Recyclus Group, shares must be suspended NOW

 

SOLI

Solid State – results “expected to be ahead of consensus expectations”, but how sustainably?…

 

BMS

Braemar – full-year “in line with market expectations”, remains a value BUY

 

SYME

The fraud Supply@ME issues another 1.5 billion worthless shares to Zamboni: more smoke and mirrors vicar?

 

CEY

Centamin – positive 2023 results and a better outlook, Buy

 

BSFA

BSF Enterprises: time for a statement re bailout fundraise

 

KEFI

Kefi Gold & Copper – General Meeting statement, “material milestones” ahead

 

KETL

Put the kettle on, it’s another disastrous trading statement from Strix containing a blatant porky

 

TM1

Technology Minerals (#TM1) – H1 loss £1.5m and already net debt, hence agreeing subsequent death spiral financing facilities

 

TPK

Travis Perkins (#TPK) – CEO Nick Roberts to ‘step down’, “the board and Nick are aligned that now is the right time to search for a new leader”. Hmmm!

 

ART

Artisanal Spirits (#ART) – emphasises 2023 “revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA profit”, but increases bottom-line loss

 

REVB

Revolution Beauty (#REVB) – now expects FY adj. EBITDA slightly above previous guidance, argues “seeing positive impacts from the new strategy”

 

CMCX

CMC Markets (#CMCX) – continued positive trading momentum means now expects FY net operating income above previously-guided range

 

KETL

Strix (#KETL) – 2023 adj. EPS down to 9.2p, DPS axed as also net debt £83.7m

 

SFOR

S4 Capital (#SFOR) – 2023 another loss on lower revenue, “expect clients to remain cautious in the near term”

 

QTX

Quartix Technologies (#QTX) – Q1 new unit subscriptions expected to be approx. +10% YoY, CFO Emily Rees resigns “to pursue opportunities outside the company”

 

SOLI

Solid State (#SOLI) – “acceleration of revenues” means expects FY “ahead of consensus”, but “reflected commensurately” in next year’s expectations

 

JHD

James Halstead (#JHD) – H1 EPS up to 4.8p, DPS to 2.5p, performance continuing in early months of H2

Tuesday »

AAU

Ariana Resources – Resource And Reserves Update Which Poses Me Questions, But Still A Buy

 

CML

CML Microsystems – profit warning, how loudly did it previously ‘sound a note of caution’ really?…

 

Bearcast

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Mr Market's mood swings, Caracal nonsense and I just can't get excited about Fevertree

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